So, easier to go 50% on consecutive TD drives assuming a stop by the D than converting any combination of a FG/TD on a subsequent drive following a successful FG? I think you're awful at math. And reality.
Dear God. The odds of us converting that 4th down and scoring a TD are far superior to us making the first FG and getting a stop with enough time left to drive down the field and score either a FG or a TD especially given our ST situation. Again, you and I both know elite coaches (Saban, Dabo, Smart, Riley, etc) would never kick a FG in that situation because they're going to trust their offences to get the 7 yards instead of the alternative. Franklin needs to pull his head out of his ass.