YOU asked for it**….I DELIVER. For the 4th consecutive year I am posting my Recruiting rankings using the formula I keep tweaking in the hopes that it will not only rank the recruiting classes by numerical order but also assign a numerical value to each team's recruits that will (hopefully) accurately predict the ratio of points you can expect from the class. So if team A has 400 points and team B has 200 points......then you can expect Team A's recruits to double the NCAA output of team B. It doesn't mean they will score 400 points...…..it is a ratio. From looking at the production of top 10 recruits at NCAA and comparing it to the production of those ranked 11-20 and 30-40 etc......I have been trying to come up with a formula that will predict success based on previous patterns. There has been a LOT more data produced on this subject in the last 4-5 years so it should be easier to test. I have used mostly the more recent data because I think the rating agencies are getting better at ranking because there are so many opportunities for the quality wrestlers to perform.....and compete against each other.......therefore better/larger database to assign rankings.
The trick is to assign point totals that reflect the production disparity of top 10 recruits as compared to the 11-20 and the 21-30 group etc. The point scale I chose is heavily weighted towards the top and goes down at a rate that is supposed to emulate actual results of each group. Here goes:
I used FLO's Big Board 2020 rankings ( SORRY WILLIE ) and assigned points accordingly ( after a few test runs ):
Speaking of FLO....did anyone notice that FLO started using a similar system last season? A few years late to the party
1. 150 Pts ....... 6. 121....... 11. 105
2. 142 .............. 7. 117....... 12. 102
3. 135 ........... .. 8. 114....... 13. 100
4. 129 .............. 9. 111.......
5. 125 ............. 10. 108
From 14-20......drop 2 points each placement. So #20 is 88 points. After that......drop 1 point per placement.......Giving #100 6 points Got it? This year's results:
TEAM:...….……….. TOTAL POINTS FLO RANKING OF RECRUITS
1. Oklahoma State........424..................10-11-13-54-63-90
2. Iowa...........................371...................3-16-49-60-67
3. Missouri....................347....................2-14-41-64
4. North Carolina..........333...................5-30-44-53-89
5. Penn State................328...................4-7-34-96
6. Cornell......................292...................8-15-37-93
7. Nebraska...……….…...280...…………….12-17-29-77
8. Virginia Tech...……….262...……………..6-51-57-69
9. N.C. State...……..…….211...……………..19-43-46
10.West Virginia...………191...……………..31-48-71-83
11.Lehigh...…………..……178...……………..32-42-81-91
12.Michigan State...….165...……………..9-52
13.Rutgers...…….……….162...……………..26-56-74
14.Wisconsin...………….150...……………..1
15.Army...…………….…..137...……………..28-47
16.Princeton...…………..134...……………..23-55
17.Oklahoma...………….120...……………..24-68
18.Minnesota...………….115...……………..27-70
19.Purdue...…………......112...……………..18-84
20.Harvard...…………….110...……………..36-66
21.Northwestern...…….91...……………..35-86
22.Navy...……………..……86...……………..20
23.Michigan...…………….84...……………..22
24.Lock Haven...………...81...……………..25
25.PITT...…………………...80...……………..50-82
26.Northern Iowa.......73...……………..33
27.Iowa Sate...…………..64...……………..73-75
Other Notables:
Virginia: 32 points
Arizona State: ZERO top 100 recruits this year
Ohio State: ZERO top 100 recruits this year.....although Echemendia is a Huge pickup
Iowa also has Eierman coming in as well
*Prediction Accuracy void in all States but Catatonic.
** Full Disclosure.....Nobody ask for it
As per usual....if you have any suggestions or complaints.....feel free to call or text to 1-800-BITE ME!
ENJOY!!
The trick is to assign point totals that reflect the production disparity of top 10 recruits as compared to the 11-20 and the 21-30 group etc. The point scale I chose is heavily weighted towards the top and goes down at a rate that is supposed to emulate actual results of each group. Here goes:
I used FLO's Big Board 2020 rankings ( SORRY WILLIE ) and assigned points accordingly ( after a few test runs ):
Speaking of FLO....did anyone notice that FLO started using a similar system last season? A few years late to the party
1. 150 Pts ....... 6. 121....... 11. 105
2. 142 .............. 7. 117....... 12. 102
3. 135 ........... .. 8. 114....... 13. 100
4. 129 .............. 9. 111.......
5. 125 ............. 10. 108
From 14-20......drop 2 points each placement. So #20 is 88 points. After that......drop 1 point per placement.......Giving #100 6 points Got it? This year's results:
TEAM:...….……….. TOTAL POINTS FLO RANKING OF RECRUITS
1. Oklahoma State........424..................10-11-13-54-63-90
2. Iowa...........................371...................3-16-49-60-67
3. Missouri....................347....................2-14-41-64
4. North Carolina..........333...................5-30-44-53-89
5. Penn State................328...................4-7-34-96
6. Cornell......................292...................8-15-37-93
7. Nebraska...……….…...280...…………….12-17-29-77
8. Virginia Tech...……….262...……………..6-51-57-69
9. N.C. State...……..…….211...……………..19-43-46
10.West Virginia...………191...……………..31-48-71-83
11.Lehigh...…………..……178...……………..32-42-81-91
12.Michigan State...….165...……………..9-52
13.Rutgers...…….……….162...……………..26-56-74
14.Wisconsin...………….150...……………..1
15.Army...…………….…..137...……………..28-47
16.Princeton...…………..134...……………..23-55
17.Oklahoma...………….120...……………..24-68
18.Minnesota...………….115...……………..27-70
19.Purdue...…………......112...……………..18-84
20.Harvard...…………….110...……………..36-66
21.Northwestern...…….91...……………..35-86
22.Navy...……………..……86...……………..20
23.Michigan...…………….84...……………..22
24.Lock Haven...………...81...……………..25
25.PITT...…………………...80...……………..50-82
26.Northern Iowa.......73...……………..33
27.Iowa Sate...…………..64...……………..73-75
Other Notables:
Virginia: 32 points
Arizona State: ZERO top 100 recruits this year
Ohio State: ZERO top 100 recruits this year.....although Echemendia is a Huge pickup
Iowa also has Eierman coming in as well
*Prediction Accuracy void in all States but Catatonic.
** Full Disclosure.....Nobody ask for it
As per usual....if you have any suggestions or complaints.....feel free to call or text to 1-800-BITE ME!
ENJOY!!
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