Close, but I had the game at -4, without handicapping. I actually made some adjustments to my HFA numbers and I'm now closer to -5 for PSU.What I believe or don't is entirely irrelevant to the point spread. I expected the line to open around even. I asked another poster in a different thread who often comments on these things and he expected PSU to be a 2-3 point favorite. You will see this line dip from 8, which tells us that the line is too high. If PSU wins by 50, which I hope they do, the 8-point line will have still been too high.
I think this line was -8 for about a minute before it was bet down to -7. I saw it at -6 on bookmaker last night, but they now have it as -7(-105).