Interesting semis stats from Senator Bob Dole

[Chickenman Testa]

As 1 poster noted, it should be be one of the first pages in Cael’s recruiting binder:

http://board.themat.com/index.php?/topic/26490-semi-finals-stats/page/2/#comments

 

[Chickenman Testa]

Further boiled down:


“At the risk of confusing one person on this board, I like to look at @BobDole's excellent presentation of the data with another twist.

• PSU win % in the semis when they are the higher seed = 100% (sample size = 38)
• The field win % in the semis when they are the higher seed = 69.23% (sample size = 182)

A difference of 30.77%

• PSU win % in the semis when they are the lower seed = 53.85% (sample size = 13)
• The field win % in the semis when they are the lower seed = 23.67% (sample size = 207)

A difference of 30.17%

Those differences are not random luck.

To come back to the field PSU would need to lose their next 17 semis when higher seeds and when lower seeds. Remarkable.”