Iowa really needs to place all their wrestle-back guys (Gilman, Cooper, and Meyer) in 3rd and probably win three of their four finals to have a shot. Their head-to-heads with Penn State are crucial and they will not be favored in either (although you could make an argument that Zain vs. Sorenson is a toss-up). Cory Clark and Zane Richards is a true toss-up with Richards owing a January sudden victory win over Clark. Brooks and Dudley is a toss-up as well. Nico won't be favored at 125 vs. Tomasello and Jimmy won't be favored vs. Ashnault. Finally, Bo Nickal is a favorite to win vs. Brunson.
Two of six finalist winners without bonus is an additional 8 pts. for Penn State (not including bonus). To make up a 35 pt. deficit in this scenario (current 27 pt. lead plus 8 pts. from 2 finalist winners), Iowa would need to place all of their guys in consys third (all of them with bonus in both matches) and win at least 3 of their 4 final matches to overtake Penn State. This also would assume that Jordan Conaway and Matt McCutcheon score no more points in the wrestle-backs which is highly unlikely (Conaway has already beaten Montoya).
Impossible....no, but it's a mountain to climb of Everest proportions.
Two of six finalist winners without bonus is an additional 8 pts. for Penn State (not including bonus). To make up a 35 pt. deficit in this scenario (current 27 pt. lead plus 8 pts. from 2 finalist winners), Iowa would need to place all of their guys in consys third (all of them with bonus in both matches) and win at least 3 of their 4 final matches to overtake Penn State. This also would assume that Jordan Conaway and Matt McCutcheon score no more points in the wrestle-backs which is highly unlikely (Conaway has already beaten Montoya).
Impossible....no, but it's a mountain to climb of Everest proportions.
