Simulating the NCAA Tournament

[regularfan]

So, like everybody else I had planned to just watch wrestling these next three days and am totally bummed as much for the #33 seeds as the #1 seeds.

Therefore, I spent the afternoon thinking of a way to "simulate" the NCAA Tournament and also throw in the upsets that truly make this March Matness!

So, using the one interactive bracket i found, I put all the matchups into wrestlestat and that spit out a predicted score

From there I sorted wins into decisions by 1-3 pts, decisions by 4-7 pts., major decisions, tech falls, and falls

For decisions 1-3: I gave the favorite (wrestlestat predictor to win) a 50% chance at winning by decision, 7% chance at major, 3% chance at tech, 6% chance at fall, 25% chance at losing by decision, 6% chance losing by major, 1% chance losing by tech, 2% chance getting pinned

Basically the favorite according to wrestlestat has a 66% chance to win

For decisions 4-7 pts. I gave the favorite: 30% win major, 25% win major, 10% win tech, 15% win fall, 12% loss decision, 3% chance loss major, 2% loss by tech, 3% loss by fall

The favorite has an 80% chance to win

For majors: I gave the favorite: 18% win decision, 40% win major, 12% win tech, 20% win fall, 7% loss decision, 1% loss major, 1% loss tech, 1% loss by fall

The Favorite has a 90% chance to win

For tech falls: I gave the favorite: 15% win decision, 20% win major, 30% win tech, 31% win by fall, 1% loss by dec., 1% loss by major, 1% loss by tech, 1% loss by fall

The favorite has a 96% chance to win

For falls: I gave the favorite: 12% win decision, 15% win major, 30% win tech, 41% win fall, 1% loss by decision, 1% loss by fall (they got caught)

The favorite has a 98% chance to win

Then I took all these results and put them in an excel document and randomly sorted all the results so that all the decisions weren't in the same group of numbers and labled these results 1-100 in the excel document

Then I used google's random number generator and picked a random number for each and compared that to the random sorting of results.

Below were the results I got through 157 lbs.

Bravo-Young was upset and Verkleeren was also defeated. Nebraska had two kids upset while Young went down for Iowa. Results are below. I highlighted the major upsets by sees in bold. I am going to start typing up the 165-HWT results from the first round shortly.

Yes. This took like 90 minutes to simulate the entire first session of matches.

Pigtails
125: Lajoie dec. Minninno
133: Cobb dec. Saenz
141: Filius dec. Droegenmueller
149: Gaxiola tech. Porter
157: Carida dec. Jones
165: Coy dec. Meisinger
174: Spadafora dec. Eaglin
184: Agee dec. Loomer
197: Samuel dec. McLaughlin
285: Bagley dec. Ihry

125 lbs.
Lee fall LaJoie
Schwarm dec. Aguilar
Courtney md. McKee
Gutierrez dec. DeAugustino
DiSario md Schroder
Mackall fall Cardini
Werner dec. Curry
Mueller md. Thomsen
Piccininni dec. Griffin
Medley dec. Chalifoux
Cronin dec. Colaicco
Hildebrandt tf Heinselman
Paetzell dec. Meink
Camacho dec. Manchio
Cardinale dec. Prata
Glory fall Moody

133 lbs.
Rivera tf Cobb
Madrigal dec. LaMont
Gonser dec. Small
Bridges dec. Skudlarcyznk
Gerardi dec. Bravo-Young
Spann dec. Turner
Rooney dec. Hayes
Russell dec. Philippi
Tucker dec. Felhman
Hart dec. Lovett
Sykora dec. Witcraft
DeSanto fall Trombley
Piotrowski dec. Trampe
Alvarez dec. Hernandez
Schwartz md. Farro
Gross md. Marten

141 lbs.
Pletcher tf Filius
Leeth dec. Cheek
Zapf md. Moran
Heil tf Lloren
Demas dec. Kazimir
Simon dec. Trybus
Shoop dec. Blockhus
Parker dec. Willits
Woods fall Perry
Duncan fall Hone
Sherman fall Baughman
Matthews def. Red
Murin dec. Profaci
McKee md. Laney
Moore dec. Wilson
Lee md. Pomrinca

149 lbs.
Lugo tf Gaxiola
DiBlasi dec. Parriott
Rolhfing dec. Purinton
Degen md. Richard
Lewallen md. Hoffman
Pohlmeyer dec. Hagan
Thomsen dec. Andonian
Maueller dec. Prince
Sasso fall Williams
Alirez dec. Verkleeren
Zacherl dec. Smith
Kolodzik dec. Thomas
Lee dec. Martin
Storr dec. Rooks
Millner dec. Clarke
O’Connor md. Hrisopoulos

157 lbs.
Deakin md. Carida
Franek dec. Thomas
Teemer dec. Zivistoski
Wright dec. Young
Monday tf. LaPrade
Parks dec. Hartman
Tucker dec. Robb
Dellavecchia fall Eischens
Carr tf. Klucker
Jacques dec. Ruffin
Sheets dec. Carson
Coleman dec. McCoy
Humphreys md. Barone
Rahmani dec. Lewan
Early dec. Headlee
Hidlay fall Van Brill

 

[regularfan]

I swear this is random but Marinelli and Lujan both go down as #1 seeds although my random generator did not give me as many upsets or results other than decisions that I might have expected. Penn State goes 4-0 in the back half. Nebraska's tough day continues with Labriola going down.

165 lbs.
Coy fall. Marinelli
Hartman dec. Conigliaro
Skidgel fall Cuomo
Wick fall Olejnik
White dec. O’Reilly
McCormick dec. Smith
Perez tf Oster
Wittlake md. Truax
Mocco dec. Griffin
Fogarty fall Keller
Wentzel dec. Cook
Shields fall Stamm
McFadden fall Hughes
Jarrell md. Bullard
Monday dec. Braunagel
Joseph md. Straw

174 lbs.
Hall fall Spadafora
Carey dec. Gunther
Oliver dec. Mantanona
Valencia fall Malczewski
Steiert dec. O’Malley
Smith dec. McNally
Flynn fall Colbray
Hastings dec. Lydy
Kutler dec. Womack
Bastian dec. Lautt
Richards dec. Harvey
Romero dec. Siegrist
Skatzka md Filitz
Sherry dec. Labriola
Bullard dec. Harvey
Kemerer dec. Hughes

184 lbs.
Agee dec. Lujan
Stewart dec. Harvey
Sebastian dec. Montalvo
Morgan fall Allard
Hidlay fall Loew
Carlson md. Janzen
Waddell md Weiller
DePrez md. Stefanik
Brooks dec. Lyon
Jordan dec. Wilson
Assad tf. Wisman
Caffey def. Clouthier
Venz md. Embree
Bonaccorsi dec. Coleman
Braunagel dec. Webster
Bolen dec. Samuelson

197 lbs.
Moore md. Samuel
Laird dec. Pagano
Norfleet dec. Braun
Brucki fall Seeley
Warner md. Pelham
Rasheed md. Warner
Brown dec. Lane
Darmstadt fall Ritter
Schultz md. Urbas
Greer dec. Phipps
Sloan md. Jakobsen
Brunner dec. Striggow
Aiello dec. Buchanan
Koehlling dec. Bulsak
Woodley dec. Davison
Adams tf. Eaton

285 lbs.
Steveson fall Bagoly
Miller fall Robertson
Wood fall Sullivan
Orndorff dec. Spaulding
Stencel md. Furman
Jensen dec. Kokit
Andrews fall Metz
Hall fall Knighton-Ward
Cassioppi md. Gunning
Isley dec. Traub
Gremmel md. Wilson
Hillger fall Earnest
Thomas dec. Penola
Miller dec. Slavikouski
Heino dec. Borst
Parris dec. Cloud

 

[regularfan]

Team scores after session I (assuming the bracket is calculating correctly. If anybody knows how to an excel file I am happy to do that.

Not a lot of bonus for Penn State in the opening round.

1 Iowa 17
2 Arizona State 13
3 Iowa State 10.5
4 Campbell 10
5 Penn State 10
6 Ohio State 9.5
7 Princeton 9.5
8 Missouri 9
9 Wisconsin 9
10 Minnesota 8
11 NC State 8
12 Oklahoma State 8

 

[regularfan]

First half of tonight's session in the books. Penn State will bring everybody back for day 2 in theory world. 165-285 "wrestling" right now. Not sure if anybody even finds this interesting but I will keep going.

Consolation Pigtails
125: #30 Logan Griffith (MSU) dec. #33 Antonio Minnino (Drex)
133: #30 DJ Fehlman (LHU) dec. #33 Lawrence Saenz (FS)
141: #33 Dylan Droegemueller (NDSU) fall #30 Sa’Derain Perry (ODU)
149: #30 Tyshawn Williams (SIUE) maj. #33 Selwyn Porter (CIT)
157: #32 Jahi Jones (MD) dec. #30 Alexander Klucker (LHU)
165: #3 Shane Griffith (STAN) fall #33 Tyler Meisinger (MICH)
174: #30 Brandon Womack (COR) dec. #32 Mason Eaglin (DUKE)
184: #30 Max Lyon maj. #33 Josh Loomer (CSUB)
197: #30 Cole Urbas (PENN) maj. #33 Bryan McLaughlin (DREX)
285: #30 Andrew Gunning (UNC) maj. #33 Max Ihry (NIU)

125 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Spencer Lee (IOWA) tf #17 Jacob Schwarm (UNI)
#9 Brandon Courtney (ASU) maj. #25 Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT)
#28 Jackson DiSario (STAN) dec. #12 Alex Mackall (ISU)
#4 Jack Mueller (UVA) tf. #13 Luke Werner (LHU)
#3 Nicholas Piccininni (OSU) tf. #14 Jack Medley (MICH)
#6 Drew Hildebrandt (CMU) dec. #22 Liam Cronin (IND)
#10 Jakob Camacho (NCST) dec. Brandon Paetzell (LEH)
#2 Pat Glory (PRIN) maj. #15 Killian Cardinale (ODU)

Consolations
#16 Nic Aguilar (RUT) dec. #32 Dominic LaJoie (COR)
#24 Patrick McKee (MIN) dec. #8 Michael DeAgustino (NW)
#5 Devin Schroder (PUR) dec. #21 Justin Cardini (ILL)
#20 Gage Curry (AMER) dec. #29 Edwin Thomsen (NEB)
#19 Trey Chalifoux (ARMY) fall #30 Logan Griffin (MSU)
#11 Michael Colaiocco (PENN) dec. #27 Malik Heinselman (OSU)
#26 Korbin Meink (CAMP) dec. #23 Joe Manchio (COL)
#18 Joe Prata (VT) dec. #31 Christian Moody (OU)

133 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Sebastian Rivera (NW) tf #16 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
#8 Montorie Bridges (WYO) dec. #9 Noah Gonser (CAMP)
#21 Derek Spann (BUFF) dec. #28 Collin Gerardi (VT)
#13 Tim Rooney (KENT) dec. #29 Codi Russell (APP)
#19 Allan Hart (MIZZ) dec. #3 Charles Tucker (CORN)
#6 Austin DeSanto (IOWA) dec. #11 Cameron Sykora (NDSU)
#10 Sammy Alvarez (RUT) maj. #7 Travis Piotrowski (ILL)
#2 Seth Gross (WISC) dec. #15 Mosha Schwartz (UNCO)

Consolations
#17 Taylor LaMont (UVU) dec. #32 Casey Cobb (NAVY)
#25 Jack Skudlarczyk (UNI) fall #24 Todd Small (ISU)
#5 Roman Bravo-Young (PSU) dec. #12 Devan Turner (OSU)
#4 Mickey Phillipi (PITT) dec. #20 Louie Hayes (UVA)
#14 Ridge Lovett (NEB) tf #30 DJ Fehlman (LHU)
#22 Reece Witcraft (OSU) dec. #27 Jarret Trombley (NCST)
#23 Jaime Hernandez (UNC) maj. Zack Trampe (BING)
#18 Nick Farro (LEH) dec. Andrew Marten (CMU)

141 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) dec. Grant Leeth (MIZZ)
#8 Joshua Heil (CAMP) dec. #24 Doug Zapf (PENN)
#5 Dom Demas (OU) dec. #12 Dresden Simon (CMU)
#20 Kyle Shoop (LHU) dec. #4 Ian Parker (ISU)
#3 Real Woods (STAN) dec. Dylan Duncan (ILL)
#11 Zachary Sherman (UNC) dec. Cole Matthews (PITT)
#7 Max Murin (IOWA) fall #10 Mitch McKee (MINN)
#2 Nick Lee (PSU) tf #18 Mitch Moore (VT)

Consolations
#32 Parker Filius (PUR) dec. #16 Evan Cheek (CLST)
#9 Tristan Moran (WISC) maj. #25 DJ Lloren (FS)
#28 Matt Kazimir (COL) dec. #21 Cody Trybus (NAVY)
#29 Grant Willits (OSU) dec. #13 Michael Blockhus (UNI)
#14 Dusty Hone (OKST) dec. #33 Dylan Droegemueller (NDSU)
#6 Chad Red (NEB) maj. #22 Noah Baughman (COR)
#26 Salvatore Profaci (AMER) dec. Shakur Laney (OHIO)
#15 Tariq Wilson (NCST) dec. #31 Ryan Pomrinca (LEH)

149 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Pat Lugo (IOWA) maj. #17 Colton DiBlasi (GMU)
#8 Jarrett Degan (ISU) maj. #24 Russell Rohlfing (CSUB)
#5 Boo Lewallen (OSU) fall #12 Henry Pohlmeyer (SDSU)
#4 Brock Mauller (MIZZ) dec. #13 Max Thomsen (UNI)
#3 Sammy Sasso (OSU) maj. #14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO)
#6 Matthew Kolodzik (PRIN) dec. #11 Brock Zacherl (CLAR)
#7 Brayton Lee (MINN) dec. #10 Kanen Storr (MICH)
#18 Jonathan Millner (APP) dec. #2 Austin O’Connor (UNC)

Consolations
#16 Griffin Parriott (PUR) dec. #32 Greg Gaxiola (FS)
#9 Colin Purinton (NEB) dec. #25 Hunter Richard (COR)
#21 Alec Hagan (OHIO) dec. #28 Jimmy Hoffman (LEH)
#20 Bryce Andonian (VT) tf. Jared Prince (NAVY)
#19 Jarod Verkleeren (PSU) tf. #30 Tyshawn Williams (SIUE)
#22 Tanner Smith (CHAT) maj. #27 Yahya Thomas (NW)
#23 Graham Rooks (IND) fall #26 Cole Martin (WISC)
#15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER) tf. #31 Alex Hrisopoulos (MSU)

157 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Ryan Deakin (NW) maj. #16 Jared Franek (NDSU)
#9 Jacori Teemer (ASU) dec. #25 Jacob Wright (FS)
#21 Logan Parks (CMU) dec. #5 Quincy Monday (PRIN)
#20 Jake Tucker (MSU) tf #4 Jesse Dellavechia (RID)
#3 David Carr (ISU) dec. #14 Jarrett Jacques (MIZZ)
#11 Wyatt Sheets (OSU) dec. #6 Kendall Coleman (PUR)
#7 Josh Humphreys (LEH) dec. #23 Taleb Rahmani (PITT)
#2 Hayden Hidley (NCST) tf. #15 Larry Early (ODU)

Consolations
#17 Justin Thomas (OU) tf. #33 Alex Carida (BLOOM)
#8 Kaleb Young (IOWA) dec. #24 Matt Zovistoski (APP)
#12 Markus Hartman (ARMY) dec. #28 BC LaPrade (VT)
#29 Tyler Eischens (STAN) dec. #13 Peyton Robb (NEB)
#19 Justin Ruffin (SIUE) dec. #32 Jahi Jones (MD)
#27 Justin McCoy (UVA) dec. #22 Zac Carson (OHIO)
#10 Will Lewan (MICH) dec. #26 Eric Barone (ILL)
#18 Austin Headlee (UNC) dec. #31 Mike Van Brill (RUT)

 

[regularfan]

Wrapping up day 1 of the "tournament." Rasheed upsets Warner and Moore gets stuck again! Some upsets at 197 and 285 make the team race somewhat interesting heading into day 2.

165 lbs.
Round of 16
#16 Zach Hartman (BUCK) maj. #32 Cam Coy (UVA)
#8 Evan Wick (WISC) maj. #9 Tanner Skidgel (NAVY)
#5 Isaiah White (NEB) tf. #21 Cael McCormick (ARMY)
#4 Travis Wittlake (OSU) dec. #13 Quentin Perez (CAMP)
#30 Peyton Mocco (MIZZ) fall #14 Andrew Fogarty (NDSU)
#6 Joshua Shields (ASU) dec. #11 Jake Wentzel (PITT)
#7 David McFadden (VT) maj. #23 Ebed Jarrell (DREX)
#2 Vincenzo Joseph (PSU) dec. #18 Kennedy Monday (UNC)

Consolations
#1 Alex Marinelli (IOWA) maj. #17 Philip Conigliaro (HARV)
#25 Izzak Olejnik (NIU) dec. #24 Grant Cuomo (PRIN)
#12 Ethan Smith (OSU) maj. #28 Bailee O’Reilly (MINN)
#29 Bernie Truax (POLY) dec. #20 Shane Oster (NW)
#3 Shane Griffith (STAN) tf. #19 Troy Keller (BUFF)
#22 Tanner Cook (SDSU) dec. #27 Ricky Stamm (HOF)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) dec. #26 Drew Hughes (MSU)
#15 Dan Braunagel (ILL) dec. #31 Chase Straw (ISU)

174 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Mark Hall (PSU) tf. #16 Spencer Carey (NAVY)
#8 Anthony Valencia (ASU) dec. #24 Jacob Oliver (EDIN)
#5 Bryce Steiert (UNI) dec. #12 Joseph Smith (OSU)
#20 Connor Flynn (MIZZ) dec. #29 Hayden Hastings (WYO)
#19 Kimball Bastian (UVU) dec. #3 Jordan Kutler (LEH)
#6 Kaleb Romero (OSU) dec. #11 Neal Richards (VMI)
#23 Dean Sherry (RID) dec. #7 Devin Skatzka (MINN)
#2 Michael Kemmerer (IOWA) maj. #15 Daniel Bullard (NCST)

Consolations
#17 Joseph Gunter (ILL) dec. #33 Phillip Spadafora (MD)
#9 Anthony Mantanona (OU) dec. #25 Layne Malczewski (MSU)
#28 Michael O’Malley (DREX) fall #21 Andrew McNally (KENT)
#13 Samuel Colbrey (ISU) dec. #4 Dylan Lydy (PUR)
#30 Brandon Womack (CORN) dec. #14 Clay Lautt (UNC)
#22 Gregg Harvey (PITT) dec. #27 Jared Siegrist (LHU)
#10 Mikey Labriola (NEB) maj. #26 Thomas Flitz (APP)
#18 Ben Harvey (ARMY) dec. Cody Hughes (VT)

184 lbs.
Round of 16
#17 Noah Stewart (ARMY) dec. #32 Antonio Agee (ODU)
#8 Andrew Morgan (CAMP) dec. #24 Johnny Sebastian (WISC)
#12 Zach Carlson (SDSU) dec. #5 Trent Hidlay (NCST)
#4 Lou Deprez (BING) maj. #20 Matthew Waddell (CHAT)
#3 Aaron Brooks (PSU) maj. #14 Rocky Jordan (OSU)
#11 Abe Assad (IOWA) dec. #6 Cameron Caffey (MSU)
#7 Taylor Venz (NEB) dec. #10 Nino Bonaccorsi (PITT)
#2 Hunter Bolen (VT) dec. #15 Zach Braunagel (ILL)

Consolations
#1 Taylor Lujan (UNI) maj. #16 Tanner Harvey (AMER)
#25 Trevor Allard (BLOOM) dec. #9 Anthony Montalvo (OSU)
#21 Billy Janzer (RUT) maj. Jonathan Loew (COR)
#13 Chris Weiler (LEH) fall #29 Travis Stefanik (PRIN)
#19 Brit Wilson (NIU) dec. #30 Max Lyon (PUR)
#27 Alan Clothier (UNCO) dec. #22 Dylan Wisman (MIZZ)
#26 Jelani Embree (MICH) dec. #23 Marcus Coleman (ISU)
#18 Owen Webster (MINN) dec. #31 Tate Samuelson (WYO)

197 lbs.
Round of 16
#16 Ethan Laird (RID) fall #1 Kollin Moore (OSU)
#8 Patrick Brucki (PRIN) maj. #9 Kordell Norfleet (ASU)
#21 Shakur Rasheed (PSU) dec. #5 Jacob Warner (IOWA)
#4 Ben Darmstadt (COR) tf #20 JT Brown (ARMY)
#14 Dakota Greer (OSU) dec. #3 Eric Schultz (NEB)
#11 Tanner Sloan (SDSU) maj. #6 Christian Brunner (PUR)
#7 Jay Aiello (UVA) dec. #23 Wyatt Koelling (MIZZ)
#2 Noah Adams (WVU) maj. #18 Jake Woodley (OU)

Consolations
#17 Jordan Pagano (RUT) tf #32 Demazio Samuel (APP)
#24 Gage Braun (NIU) fall #25 Jacob Seeley (UNCO)
#28 Landon Pelham (CMU) dec. #12 Nathan Traxler (STAN)
#29 Hunter Ritter (MINN) dec. #13 Thomas Lane (POLY)
#30 Cole Urbas (PENN) dec. #19 Drew Phipps (BUCK)
#27 Jackson Striggow (MICH) dec. #22 Jake Jakobsen (LEH)
#10 Greg Bulsak (CLAR) dec. #26 Stephen Buchanan (WYO)
#31 Cordell Eaton (NDSU) dec. #15 Lucas Davison (NW)

285 lbs.
Round of 16
#1 Gable Steveson (MINN) fall #17 Cary Miller (APP)
#9 Jordan Wood (LEH) dec. #8 Tate Orndorff (UVU)
#5 Matt Stencel (CMU) maj. #21 David Jensen (NEB)
#4 Tanner Hall (ASU) tf #13 Brian Andrews (WYO)
#14 Carter Isley (UNI) dec. #3 Tony Cassioppi (IOWA)
#11 Gannon Gremmel (ISU) dec. #6 Trent Hillger (WISC)
#7 Demetrius Thomas (PITT) dec. #23 Quinn Miller (UVA)
#2 Mason Parris (MICH) dec. #15 Jere Heino (CAMP)

Consolations
#16 Dalton Robertson (UNCO) fall #32 Tyler Bagoly (CLAR)
#25 Jon Spaulding (EDIN) dec. #24 Ben Sullivan (ARMY)
#12 Josh Hokit (FS) dec. #28 Brendan Furman (COR)
#20 Brandon Metz (NDSU) fall #29 Zachary Knighton-Ward (ARMY)
#30 Andrew Gunning (UNC) dec. #19 Gary Traub (OSU)
#22 Deonte Wilson (NCST) dec. #27 Jordan Earnest (OHIO)
#10 Yaraslau Slavikouski (HARV) fall #26 Thomas Penola (PUR)
#18 John Borst (VT) dec. #31 Ryan Cloud (RID)

 

[regularfan]

Team scores after day 1
1 Iowa 30.5
2 Penn State 21.5
3 Arizona State 20.5
4 Oklahoma State 17.5
5 Iowa State 15
Missouri 15
Nebraska 15
Ohio State 15
9 Minnesota 14.5
Princeton 14.5

 

[dbldoofus]

Ok. You got me interested. Looking forward to tomorrow. Make sure it’s possible that someone misses weight !

 

[nittinsc]

I wish you would have announced this before posting the results. We could have had the NCAA KYPSW for this.

 

[regularfan]

Ok. You got me interested. Looking forward to tomorrow. Make sure it’s possible that someone misses weight !

I didn't put in a possibility that anybody fails skin checks or misses weight. Maybe I should have made that like a 1/500 chance just so odds are it happens once over the course of the weekend.

 

[dbldoofus]

N

I didn't put in a possibility that anybody fails skin checks or misses weight. Maybe I should have made that like a 1/500 chance just so odds are it happens once over the course of the weekend.

I have a D100, not a D500 tho.

 

[bowandarrow]

Ha! Love Moore getting pinned.

 

[regularfan]

I enjoy doing these but at the same time I look at these matchups and can't help but think what could have been ...

Session III "underway." Quarterfinals in the middle four mats and consolations on the outer 4. We will have another round of consolations after and be down to 16 guys after today's first session. Expecting the first results to come in around noon.

 

[regularfan]

Session III Update (through 157 lbs.)

Bad news early in the session for PSU title hopes. Iowa puts 3 of their first 4 into the semifinals and Young is still wrestling back. Bravo-Young stays alive in the consis but Verkleeren is pinned to take away point potential from PSU.

The bonus points were flying at 125. Jackson DiSario is the breakout star but has a meeting with Spencer Lee in the semifinals. Derek Spann also earns All-American honors at 133 out of the #21 seed with a fall in the quarters and has Rivera in the semifinals. Pletcher goes down as the fourth #1 to fall already while Lee puts Murin in the consolations to get some key points after bonus from Lee and DeSanto for Iowa. Lugo keeps the Iowa train rolling as 149 went chalk until #18 Jonathan Millner of Appalachian State upsets Brayton Lee to earn All-American honors. He has taken out Kizhan Clarke, Austin O’Connor and now Lee. Verkleeren gets pinned in the wrestlebacks as the first Penn State or Iowa wrestler eliminated. Top three seeds plus Cinderella #20 Jake Tucker make up the semifinals at 157

125 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#1 Spencer Lee (IOWA) tf #9 Brandon Courtney (ASU)
#28 Jackson DiSario (STAN) maj. #4 Jack Mueller (UVA)
#6 Drew Hildebradnt (CMU) fall #3 Nicholas Piccininni (OKST)
#2 Pat Glory (PRIN) fall #10 Jakob Camacho (NCST)

Consolations
#15 Killian Cardinale (ODU) dec. #16 Nic Aguilar (RUT)
#7 Brandon Paetzell (LEH) maj. #24 Patrick McKee (MIN)
#5 Devin Schroder (PUR) fall #22 Liam Cronin (IND)
#14 Jack Medley (MICH) dec. Gage Curry (AMER)
#13 Luke Werner (LHU) dec. #19 Trey Chalifoux (ARMY)
#11 Michael Colaiocco (PENN) dec. #12 Alex Mackall (ISU)
#25 Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) dec. #26 Korbin Meink (CAMP)
#17 Jacob Schwarm (UNI) dec. #18 Joey Prata (VT)

133 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#1 Sebastian Rivera (NW) dec. #8 Montarie Bridges (WYO)
#21 Derek Spann (BUFF) fall #13 Tim Rooney (KENT)
#6 Austin DeSanto (IOWA) fall #19 Allan Hart (MIZZ)
#2 Seth Gross (WISC) tf #10 Sammy Alvarez (RUT)

Consolations
#17 Taylor LaMont (UVU) dec. #15 Mosha Schwartz (UNCO)
#25 Jack Skudlarczyk (UNI) dec. #7 Travis Piotrowski (ILL)
#5 Roman Bravo-Young (PSU) dec. #11 Cameron Sykora (NDSU)
#3 Charles Tucker (COR) dec. #4 Mickey Phillipi (PITT)
#14 Ridge Lovett (NEB) maj. #29 Codi Russell (APP)
#22 Reece Witcraft (OKST) dec. #28 Collin Gerardi (VT)
#23 Jaime Hernandez (UNC) dec. #9 Noah Gonser (CAMP)
#18 Nick Farro (LEH) dec. #16 Anthony Madrigal (OU)

141 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#8 Joshua Heil (CAMP) maj. #1 Luke Pletcher (OSU)
#5 Dom Demas (OU) tf #20 Kyle Shoop (LHU)
#11 Zachary Sherman (UNC) dec. #3 Real Woods (STAN)
#2 Nick Lee (PSU) dec. #7 Max Murin (IOWA)

Consolations
#18 Mitch Moore (VT) maj. #32 Parker Filius (PUR)
#9 Tristan Moran (WISC) fall #10 Mitch McKee (MIN)
#28 Matt Kazimir (COL) dec. #27 Cole Matthews (PITT)
#19 Dylan Duncan (ILL) dec. #29 Grant Willits (ORST)
#4 Ian Parker (ISU) maj. #14 Dusty Hone (OKST)
#6 Chad Red (NEB) dec. #12 Dresden Simon (CMU)
#24 Doug Zapf (PENN) dec. #26 Salvatore Profaci (AMER)
#15 Tariq Wilson (NCST) dec. #17 Grant Leeth (MIZZ)

149 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#1 Pat Lugo (IOWA) dec. #8 Jarrett Degen (ISU)
#4 Brock Mauller (MIZZ) dec. #5 Boo Lewallen (OKST)
#3 Sammy Sasso (OSU) dec. #6 Matthew Kolodzik (PRIN)
#18 Jonathan Millner (APP) dec. #7 Brayton Lee (MINN)

Consolations
#2 Austin O’Connor (UNC) fall #16 Griffin Parriott (PUR)
#9 Collin Purinton (NEB) dec. #10 Kanen Storr (MICH)
#21 Alec Hagan (OHIO) tf #11 Brock Zacheral (CLAR)
#14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO) fall #20 Bryce Andonian (VT)
#13 Max Thomsen (UNI) fall #19 Jarod Verkleeren (PSU)
#22 Tanner Smith (CHAT) dec. #12 Henry Pohlmeyer (SDSU)
#24 Russell Rohlfing (CSUB) dec. #23 Graham Rooks (IND)
#15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER) dec. #17 Colston DiBlasi (GMU)

157 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#1 Ryan Deakin (NW) maj. #9 Jacori Teemer (ASU)
#20 Jake Tucker (MSU) dec. #21 Logan Parks (CMU)
#3 David Carr (ISU) dec. #11 Wyatt Sheets (OKST)
#2 Hayden Hidlay (NCST) dec. #7 Josh Humphreys (LEH)

Consolations
#15 Larry Early (ODU) dec. #17 Justin Thomas (OU)
#8 Kaleb Young (IOWA) dec. #23 Taleb Rahmani (PITT)
#12 Markus Hartman (ARMY) dec. Kendall Coleman (PUR)
#14 Jarrett Jacques (MIZZ) dec. #29 Tyler Eischens (STAN)
#4 Jesse Dellavecchia (RID) dec. #19 Justin Ruffin (SIUE)
#5 Quincy Monday (PRIN) maj. #27 Justin McCoy (UVA)
#10 Will Lewan (MICH) dec. #25 Jacob Wright (FS)
#16 Jared Franek (NDSU) dec. #18 Austin Headlee (UNC)

Iowa leading the team score 55.5 to 29 over Penn State with the Nittany Lions needing a big second half. Princeton has moved all the way up to third in a tight battle for team trophies.

Team Scores after 157 quarterfinals
1. Iowa 55.5
2. Penn State 29
3. Princeton 25
4. Wisconsin 24.5
5. Northwestern 24
6. Iowa State/Missouri 23.5
8. Ohio State 22
9. North Carolina 21
10. Arizona State/Campbell/NC State 20.5

 

[Flying_Tiger]

I ran my own simulation. Here are the notable results:

Penn State 175
Iowa 47
tOSU 13
Minnesota -1

 

[nittinsc]

We still have some big guns coming up!

 

[regularfan]

Anybody who had Alex Marinelli as the first Hawkeye out of the tournament can claim their prize. Penn State looked to be turning the tides as Joseph and Hall both made the semis (along with Kemerer) but then Abe Assad might have just sealed the team title with a tech fall of Aaron Brooks in a stunning turn of events as the points were flying all over the place during the 184 quarterfinals. Darmstadt beating Rasheed certainly did not improve PSU’s chances. Heavyweight holding pretty true to form other than the previous round upset of Cassioppi who is still alive in the wrestlebacks.

165 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#16 Zach Hartman (BUCK) dec. #8 Evan Wick (WISC)
#5 Isaiah White (NEB) dec. #4 Travis Wittlake (OKST)
#6 Josh Shields (ASU) tf #30 Peyton Mocco (MIZZ)
#2 Vincenzo Joseph (PSU) dec. #7 David McFadden (VT)

Consolations
#18 Kennedy Monday (UNC) dec. #1 Alex Marinelli (IOWA)
#25 Izzak Olejnik (NIU) dec. #23 Ebed Jarrell (DREX)
#12 Ethan Smith (OSU) maj. #11 Jake Wentzel (PITT)
#14 Andrew Fogarty (NDSU) dec. #29 Bernie Truax (POLY)
#3 Shane Griffith (STAN) maj. Quentin Perez (CAMP)
#21 Cael McCormick (ARMY) dec. #22 Tanner Cook (SDSU)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) maj. #9 Tanner Skidgel (NAVY)
#15 Dan Braunagel (ILL) maj. #32 Cam Coy (UVA)

174 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#1 Mark Hall (PSU) maj. #8 Anthony Valencia (ASU)
#20 Connor Flynn (MIZZ) dec. #5 Bryce Steiert (UNI)
#6 Kaleb Romero (OSU) dec. #19 Kimball Bastian (UVU)
#2 Michael Kemerer (IOWA) maj. #23 Dean Sherry (RID)

Consolations
#17 Joseph Gunter (ILL) dec. #15 Daniel Bullard (NCST)
#9 Anthony Mantanona (OU) dec. #7 Devin Skatzka (MINN)
#11 Neal Richards (VMI) maj. #28 Michael O’Malley (DREX)
#3 Jordan Kutler (LEH) maj. #13 Samuel Colbray (ISU)
#30 Brandon Womack (COR) dec. #29 Hayden Hastings (WYO)
#12 Joseph Smith (OKST) fall #22 Gregg Harvey (PITT)
#10 Mickey Labriola (NEB) maj. #24 Jacob Oliver (EDIN)
#18 Ben Harvey (ARMY) dec. #16 Spencer Carey (NAVY)

184 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#17 Noah Stewart (ARMY) dec. #8 Andrew Morgan (CAMP)
#4 Lou DePrez (BING) tf #12 Zach Carlson (SDSU)
#11 Abe Assad (IOWA) tf #3 Aaron Brooks (PSU)
#2 Hunter Bolen (VT) fall #7 Taylor Venz (NEB)

Consolations
#1 Taylor Lujan (UNI) tf #15 Zach Braunagel (ILL)
#10 Nino Bonaccorsi (PITT) dec. #25 Trevor Allard (BLOOM)
#6 Cameron Caffey (MSU) maj. #21 Billy Janzer (RUT)
#13 Chris Weiler (LEH) maj. #14 Rocky Jordan (OSU)
#19 Brit Wilson (NIU) dec. #20 Matthew Waddell (CHAT)
#5 Trent Hidley (NCST) dec. #27 Alan Clothier (UNCO)
#26 Jelani Embree (MICH) dec. #24 Johnny Sebastian (WISC)
#32 Antonio Agee (ODU) dec. #18 Owen Webster (MINN)

197 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#8 Patrick Brucki (PRIN) dec. #16 Ethan Laird (RID)
#4 Ben Darmstadt (COR) dec. #21 Shakur Rasheed (PSU)
#11 Tanner Sloan (SDSU) dec. #14 Dakota Geer (OKST)
#2 Noah Adams (WVU) dec. #7 Jay Aiello (UVA)

Consolations
#18 Jake Woodley (OU) fall #17 Jordan Pagano (RUT)
#24 Gage Braun (NIU) dec. #23 Wyatt Koelling (MIZZ)
#6 Christian Brunner (PUR) dec. #28 Landon Pelham (CMU)
#3 Eric Schultz (NEB) tf #29 Hunter Ritter (MINN)
#30 Cole Urbas (PENN) maj. #20 JT Brown (ARMY)
#5 Jacob Warner (IOWA) dec. #27 Jackson Striggow (MICH)
#9 Kendall Norfleet (ASU) maj. #10 Greg Bulsak (CLAR)
#1 Kollin Moore (OSU) maj. #31 Cordell Eaton (NDSU)

285 lbs.
Quarterfinals
#1 Gable Steveson (MINN) dec. #9 Jordan Wood (LEH)
#5 Matt Stencel (CMU) dec. #4 Tanner Hall (ASU)
#11 Gannon Gremmel (ISU) maj. #14 Carter Isley (UNI)
#2 Mason Parris (MICH) dec. #7 Demetrius Thomas (PITT)

Consolations
#16 Dalton Robertson (UNCO) maj. #15 Jere Heino (CAMP)
#25 Jon Spaulding (EDIN) dec. #23 Quinn Miller (UVA)
#6 Trent Hillger (WISC) dec. #12 Josh Hokit (FS)
#3 Tony Cassioppi (IOWA) dec. #20 Brandon Metz (NDSU)
#13 Brian Andrews (WYO) tf #30 Andrew Gunning (UNC)
#21 David Jensen (NEB) dec. #22 Deonte Wilson (NCST)
#10 Yaraslau Slavikouski (HARV) maj. #8 Tate Orndorff (UVU)
#17 Cary Miller (APP) dec. #18 John Borst (VT)

Team standings after quarterfinals
1. Iowa 73
2. Penn State 44
3. Princeton 33
4. Ohio State 32
5. Iowa State 31.5
6. Arizona State 30.5
7. Missouri/Nebraska 29.5
9. Central Michigan 27
10. Wisconsin 25

Nebraska really wrestling better after a tough opening session as they move into the top 10 and are just a couple points out of a wide open team trophy race for the top 4.

 

[HOCKEYGOD11]

Fun to follow but some of these results were not going to happen. No way AA TFs AB as one glaring example.

 

[seeyajohn]

The overabundance of upsets (far more than any NCAA tournament ever) suggests that either Wrestlestat is a poor predictor or that your probabilities weren't strong enough. Still, it is a fun exercise.

 

[regularfan]

The overabundance of upsets (far more than any NCAA tournament ever) suggests that either Wrestlestat is a poor predictor or that your probabilities weren't strong enough. Still, it is a fun exercise.

Yeah. I guess that is what I get when using a google random number generator. I just let it play out the way it did in a one time occurrence.

In the preliminary round I felt like I wasn't getting as many upsets as I thought I might. Although the upsets that did hit were big ones like #1 seeds going down.

Brooks was a 7-3 predicted winner (4 pt. favorite vs. Assad in wrestlestat) and so he had an 80% chance to win that match. Only 2/100 chance he would get teched and that number just came up.

 

[psumacw]

definitely a fun exercise, but yeah the probabilities of results are skewed toward the underdog. i believe wrestlestat publishes their wrester ELO scores, which can be used to infer win probabilities rather than assigning probabilities yourself.

now that i'm thinking of it, does wrestlestat do any validation of their match predictions vs actual results? i'd be interested to see how accurate it is.

 

[regularfan]

Consolation Round of 16

Penn State loses Bravo-Young to #3 Tucker of Cornell (Bravo-Young was a 1-pt. favorite according to wrestlestat) while Cassioppi falls to Hillger of Wisconsin. Unfortunately Penn State is not in a position where it can be trading off points as they trail by 33 heading into the final three sessions.

125 lbs.
#7 Brandon Paetzell (LEH) dec. #15 Killian Cardinale (ODU)
#5 Devin Schroder (PUR) fall #14 Jack Medley (MICH)
#11 Michael Colaiocco (PENN) dec. #13 Luke Werner (LHU)
#25 Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) dec. #17 Jacob Schwarm (UNI)

133 lbs.
#17 Taylor LaMont (UVU) dec. #25 Jack Skudlarczyk (UNI)
#3 Charles Tucker (COR) dec. #5 Roman Bravo-Young (PSU)
#22 Reece Witcraft (OKST) dec. #14 Ridge Lovett (NEB)
#23 Jaime Hernandez (UNC) dec. #18 Nick Farro (LEH)

141 lbs.
#18 Mitch Moore (VT) dec. #9 Tristan Moran (WISC)
#28 Matt Kazimir (COL) dec. #19 Dylan Duncan (ILL)
#4 Ian Parker (ISU) dec. #6 Chad Red (NEB)
#15 Tariq Wilson (NCST) dec. #24 Doug Zapf (PENN)

149 lbs.
#2 Austin O’Connor (UNC) dec. #9 Collin Purinton (NEB)
#14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO) dec. #21 Alec Hagan (OHIO)
#13 Max Thomsen (UNI) dec. #22 Tanner Smith (CHAT)
#15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER) dec. #24 Russell Rohlfing (CSUB)

157 lbs.
#8 Kaleb Young (IOWA) maj. #15 Larry Early (ODU)
#14 Jarrett Jacques (MIZZ) dec. #12 Markus Hartman (ARMY)
#5 Quincy Monday (PRIN) dec. #4 Jesse Dellavecchia (RID)
#16 Jared Franek (NDSU) fall #10 Will Lewan (MICH)

165 lbs.
#18 Kennedy Monday (UNC) dec. #25 Izzak Olejnik (NIU)
#14 Andrew Fogarty (NDSU) dec. #12 Ethan Smith (OSU)
#3 Shane Griffith (STAN) maj. #21 Cael McCormick (ARMY)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) dec. #15 Dan Braunagel (ILL)

174 lbs.
#9 Anthony Mantanona (OU) maj. #17 Joseph Gunther (ILL)
#3 Jordan Kutler (LEH) maj. #11 Neal Richards (VMI)
#12 Joseph Smith (OKST) dec. #30 Brandon Womack (COR)
#10 Mickey Labriola (NEB) dec. #18 Ben Harvey (ARMY)

184 lbs.
#1 Taylor Lujan (UNI) dec. #10 Nino Bonaccorsi (PITT)
#6 Cameron Caffey (MSU) dec. #13 Chris Weiler (LEH)
#5 Trent Hidlay (NCST) dec. #19 Brit Wilson (NIU)
#32 Antonio Agee (ODU) fall #26 Jelani Embree (MICH)

197 lbs.
#24 Gage Braun (NIU) dec. #18 Jake Woodley (OU)
#6 Christian Brunner (PUR) dec. #3 Eric Schultz (NEB)
#5 Jacob Warner (IOWA) dec. #30 Cole Urbas (PENN)
#1 Kollin Moore (OSU) maj. #9 Kendall Norfleet (ASU)

285 lbs.
#25 Jon Spaulding (EDIN) dec. #16 Dalton Robertson (UNCO)
#6 Trent Hillger (WISC) dec. #3 Tony Cassioppi (Iowa)
#13 Brian Andrews (WYO) dec. #21 David Jensen (NEB)
#10 Yaraslau Slavikouski (HARV) maj. #17 Cary Miller (APP)

 

[regularfan]

Matchups for Session IV which gets underway at 8 p.m. Semifinals and the blood round starting at 8 p.m with another round of consolations to follow that.

125 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Spencer Lee (IOWA) vs. #28 Jackson DiSario (STAN)
#2 Pat Glory (PRIN) vs. #6 Drew Hildebradnt (CMU)

Consolations
#4 Jack Mueller (UVA) vs. #7 Brandon Paetzell (LEH)
#5 Devin Schroder (PUR) vs. #9 Brandon Courtney (ASU)
#10 Jakob Camachio (NCST) vs. #11 Michael Colaiocco (PENN)
#3 Nicholas Piccininni (OKST) vs. #25 Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT)

133 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Sebastian Rivera (NW) vs. #21 Derek Spann (BUFF)
#2 Seth Gross (WISC) vs. #6 Austin DeSanto (IOWA)

Consolations
#13 Tim Rooney (KENT) vs. #17 Taylor LaMont (UVU)
#3 Charles Tucker (COR) vs. #8 Montarie Bridges (WYO)
#10 Sammy Alvarez (RUT) vs. #22 Reece Witcraft (OKST)
#19 Allan Hart (MIZZ) vs. #23 Jaime Hernandez (UNC)

141 lbs.
Semifinals
#5 Dom Demas (OKLA) vs. #8 Joshua Heil (CAMP)
#2 Nick Lee (PSU) vs. #11 Zachary Sherman (UNC)

Consolations
#18 Mitch Moore (VT) vs. #20 Kyle Shoop (LHU)
#1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) vs. #28 Matt Kazimir (COL)
#4 Ian Parker (ISU) vs. #7 Max Murin (IOWA)
#3 Real Woods (STAN) vs. #15 Tariq Wilson (NCST)

149 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Pat Lugo (IOWA) vs. #4 Brock Mauller (MIZZ)
#3 Sammy Sasso (OSU) vs. #18 Jonathan Millner (APP)

Consolations
#2 Austin O’Connor (UNC) vs. #5 Boo Lewallen (OKST)
#8 Jarrett Degen (ISU) vs. #14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO)
#7 Brayton Lee (MINN) vs. #13 Max Thomsen (UNI)
#6 Matthew Kolodzik (PRIN) vs. #15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER)

157 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Ryan Deakin (NW) vs. #20 Jake Tucker (MSU)
#2 Hayden Hidlay (NCST) vs. #3 David Carr (ISU)

Consolations
#8 Kaleb Young (IOWA) vs. #21 Logan Parks (CMU)
#9 Jacori Teemer (ASU) vs. #14 Jarrett Jacques (MIZZ)
#5 Quincy Monday (PRIN) vs. #7 Josh Humphreys (LEH)
#11 Wyatt Sheets (OKST) vs. #16 Jared Franek (NDSU)

165 lbs.
Semifinals
#5 Isaiah White (NEB) vs. #16 Zach Hartman (BUCK)
#2 Vincenzo Joseph (PSU) vs. #6 Josh Shields (ASU)

Consolations
#4 Travis Wittlake (OKST) vs. #18 Kennedy Monday (UNC)
#8 Evan Wick (WISC) vs. #14 Andrew Fogarty (NDSU)
#3 Shane Griffith (STAN) vs. #7 David McFadden (VT)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) vs. #30 Peyton Mocco (MIZZ)

174 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Mark Hall (PSU) vs. #20 Connor Flynn (MIZZ)
#2 Michael Kemerer (IOWA) vs. #6 Kaleb Romero (OSU)

Consolations
#5 Bryce Steiert (UNI) vs. #9 Anthony Mantanona (OU)
#3 Jordan Kutler (LEH) vs. #8 Anthony Valencia (ASU)
#12 Joseph Smith (OKST) vs. #23 Dean Sherry (RID)
#10 Mikey Labriola (NEB) vs. #19 Kimball Bastian (UVU)

184 lbs.
Semifinals
#4 Lou DePrez (BING) vs. #17 Noah Stewart (ARMY)
#2 Hunter Bolen (VT) vs. #11 Abe Assad (IOWA)

Consolations
#1 Taylor Lujan (UNI) vs. #12 Zach Carlson (SDSU)
#6 Cameron Caffey (MSU) vs. #8 Andrew Morgan (CAMP)
#5 Trent Hidlay (NCST) vs. #7 Taylor Venz (NEB)
#3 Aaron Brooks (PSU) vs. #32 Antonio Agee (ODU)

197 lbs.
Semifinals
#4 Ben Darmstadt (COR) vs. #8 Patrick Brucki (PRIN)
#2 Noah Adams (WVU) vs. #11 Tanner Sloan (SDSU)

Consolations
#21 Shakur Rasheed (PSU) vs. #24 Gage Braun (NIU)
#6 Christian Brunner (PUR) vs. #16 Ethan Laird (RID)
#5 Jacob Warner (IOWA) vs. #7 Jay Aiello (UVA)
#1 Kollin Moore (OSU) vs. #14 Dakota Geer (OKST)

285 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Gable Steveson (MINN) vs. #5 Matt Stencel (CMU)
#2 Mason Parris (MICH) vs. #11 Gannon Gremmel (ISU)

Consolations
#4 Tanner Hall (ASU) vs. #25 Jon Spaulding (EDIN)
#6 Trent Hillger (WISC) vs. #9 Jordan Wood (LEH)
#7 Demetrius Thomas (PITT) vs. #13 Brian Andrews (WYO)
#10 Yaraslau Slavikouski (HARV) vs. #14 Carter Isley (UNI)

Team Standings
1. Iowa 75 (5 CH, 3 CON)
2. Penn State 44 (3 CH, 2 CON) – Penn State max is 127
3. Ohio State 33.5 (2 CH, 2 CON); Princeton 33.5 (2 CH, 2 CON)
5. Iowa State 32 (2 CH, 2 CON)
6. Arizona State 30.5 (1 CH, 4 CON)
7. Missouri 30 (2 CH, 3 CON); Nebraska (1 CH, 2 CON)
9. Central Michigan 27 (2 CH, 1 CON)
10. Wisconsin 25.5 (1 CH, 2 CON)
11. NC State 24 (1 CH, 4 CON), Northwestern (2 CH)
13. North Carolina 23 (1 CH, 3 CON), Virginia Tech (1 CH, 2 CON)
15. Minnesota 21.5 (1 CH, 1 CON), Oklahoma State (7 CON)
17. Campbell 20.5 (1 CH, 1 CON), Stanford (1 CH, 2 CON)
19. Oklahoma 19.5 (1 CH, 1 CON)
20. Lehigh 19 (4 CON)
21. Northern Iowa 17.5 (4 CON)
22. Cornell 17 (1 CH, 2 CON)

 

[tikk10]

 

[backdrft76]

Definitely some entertainment in this otherwise down time.

 

[regularfan]

Just a thought from what others have posted. Question for @andegre. I used 1-3 pt, 4-7 points, majors, tech, falls. Is there a way in wrestlestat to tell how often somebody is predicted for a major and ends up getting beat?

 

[CurtisLoew40]

Noah Adams was taking 197 this year. Damn

 

[dmm53]

Penn State now in the lead:

https://www.trackwrestling.com/tw/PortalPost.jsp?postId=778688135

 

[pawrestlersintn]

 

[nerfstate]

 

[a_mshaffer]

RBY isn't losing early

 

[El-Jefe]

Another sim:

 

[nerfstate]

 

[regularfan]

The dog bone is set! Semis in the middle and consis on the outside. We are "underway" in perhaps the greatest night of wrestling this whole year!

 

[nerfstate]

The dog bone is set! Semis in the middle and consis on the outside. We are "underway" in perhaps the greatest night of wrestling this whole year!

if only

 

[regularfan]

Semifinal/Round of 12 results through 157

Spencer Lee and Pat Glory show why they were seeded 1, 2 in this weight as they put together huge semifinal performances to get the night started. First electric moment of the night came at 133 when Seth Gross sticks DeSanto and the Penn State faithful are starting to smell blood in the water. Those cheers are just about to bring the roof off this stadium as Nick Lee puts the finishing touches on a tech fall right as Max Murin goes down in the round of 12. Pat Lugo restores some calm to the Iowa faithful with a decision. He will get Sammy Sasso in the finals who just pinned upstart Jonathan Millner of Appalachian State in the semifinals. Ryan Deakin is through as No. 1 seeds are now 3-0 in the semifinals where he will face David Carr who handled Hayden Hidlay in a mild upset.

Kaleb Young breaks out the offense in his consolation to earn All-American honors. Kolodzik, Brayton Lee, and Quincy Monday all bested in the round of 12 as Princeton’s trophy hopes take a huge blow despite Glory's win to start the night. But, we have not had the show stopping semifinal upset yet. Iowa getting closer to the team title, leading 96-52.5 with Penn State needing to answer in the second half of the semifinal round ...

125 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Spencer Lee (IOWA) fall #28 Jackson DiSario (STAN)
#2 Pat Glory (PRIN) tf #6 Drew Hildebradnt (CMU)

Consolations
#4 Jack Mueller (UVA) maj. #7 Brandon Paetzell (LEH)
#5 Devin Schroder (PUR) dec. #9 Brandon Courtney (ASU)
#10 Jakob Camachio (NCST) tf. #11 Michael Colaiocco (PENN)
#3 Nicholas Piccininni (OKST) maj. #25 Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT)

133 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Sebastian Rivera (NW) dec. #21 Derek Spann (BUFF)
#2 Seth Gross (WISC) fall #6 Austin DeSanto (IOWA)

Consolations
#17 Taylor LaMont (UVU) dec. #13 Tim Rooney (KENT)
#3 Charles Tucker (COR) dec. #8 Montarie Bridges (WYO)
#10 Sammy Alvarez (RUT) maj. #22 Reece Witcraft (OKST)
#19 Allan Hart (MIZZ) dec. #23 Jaime Hernandez (UNC)

141 lbs.
Semifinals
#5 Dom Demas (OKLA) dec. #8 Joshua Heil (CAMP)
#2 Nick Lee (PSU) tf. #11 Zachary Sherman (UNC)

Consolations
#18 Mitch Moore (VT) fall #20 Kyle Shoop (LHU)
#1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) maj. #28 Matt Kazimir (COL)
#4 Ian Parker (ISU) dec. #7 Max Murin (IOWA)
#3 Real Woods (STAN) fall #15 Tariq Wilson (NCST)

149 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Pat Lugo (IOWA) dec. #4 Brock Mauller (MIZZ)
#3 Sammy Sasso (OSU) fall #18 Jonathan Millner (APP)

Consolations
#2 Austin O’Connor (UNC) dec. #5 Boo Lewallen (OKST)
#14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO) dec. #8 Jarrett Degen (ISU)
#13 Max Thomsen (UNI) fall #7 Brayton Lee (MINN)
#15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER) dec. #6 Matthew Kolodzik (PRIN)

157 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Ryan Deakin (NW) dec. #20 Jake Tucker (MSU)
#2 Hayden Hidlay (NCST) maj. #3 David Carr (ISU)

Consolations
#8 Kaleb Young (IOWA) tf. #21 Logan Parks (CMU)
#9 Jacori Teemer (ASU) dec. #14 Jarrett Jacques (MIZZ)
#7 Josh Humphreys (LEH) dec. #5 Quincy Monday (PRIN)
#16 Jared Franek (NDSU) dec. #11 Wyatt Sheets (OKST)

 

[regularfan]

Semifinals/Round of 12 (165 lbs. – 285 lbs.)

We have our upsets …

I should have known when I typed my review of the first five semifinals something was going to go awry and sure enough Vincenzo Joseph gets pinned by old foe Josh Shields in the semifinals. No sooner are the Iowa fans high fiving in the stands than Michael Kemerer is upset by Kaleb Romero in the semifinals at 174. Isaiah White and Mark Hall will be opposite those wrestlers in the finals. Favored in his semifinal by wrestlestat but a surprise to get there, Abe Assad punches his ticket to the finals and will have #17 Noah Stewart of Army in the completely busted 184 lb. bracket. Darmstadt beats Brucki in the all-Ivy 197 semi while Noah Adams continues to roll from the No. 2 seed. Steveson and Parris make it another 1-2 final with Parris putting on a show with a tech fall.

Aaron Brooks pins at 184 for some much needed points for Penn State as they trail 108.5-68.5 and can only have a maximum of 115.5 if they pin out the rest of the tournament. Shakur Rasheed earns All-American honors in his final NCAA Tournament. No. 1 seeds Lujan (UNI) and Moore (OSU) drop round of 12 battles as #1 seeds go a perfect 6-0 in semifinals. Luke Pletcher is still wrestling back and earned All-American honors but three #1’s (Marinelli, Lujan, Moore) will not even place. Everything coming up roses for Warner who pins a tough Aiello and will now face Dakota Geer after his upset of Moore.

One more round of consolations and we are done with Friday night’s action ...

165 lbs.
Semifinals
#5 Isaiah White (NEB) dec. #16 Zach Hartman (BUCK)
#6 Josh Shields (ASU) fall #2 Vincenzo Joseph (PSU)

Consolations
#4 Travis Wittlake (OKST) dec. #18 Kennedy Monday (UNC)
#8 Evan Wick (WISC) dec. #14 Andrew Fogarty (NDSU)
#3 Shane Griffith (STAN) dec. #7 David McFadden (VT)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) fall #30 Peyton Mocco (MIZZ)

174 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Mark Hall (PSU) dec. #20 Connor Flynn (MIZZ)
#6 Kaleb Romero (OSU) dec. #2 Michael Kemerer (IOWA)

Consolations
#9 Anthony Mantanona (OU) fall #5 Bryce Steiert (UNI)
#3 Jordan Kutler (LEH) dec. #8 Anthony Valencia (ASU)
#12 Joseph Smith (OKST) dec. #23 Dean Sherry (RID)
#10 Mikey Labriola (NEB) tf. #19 Kimball Bastian (UVU)

184 lbs.
Semifinals
#17 Noah Stewart (ARMY) maj. #4 Lou DePrez (BING)
#11 Abe Assad (IOWA) dec. #2 Hunter Bolen (VT)

Consolations
#12 Zach Carlson (SDSU) dec. #1 Taylor Lujan (UNI)
#6 Cameron Caffey (MSU) dec. #8 Andrew Morgan (CAMP)
#7 Taylor Venz (WISC) dec. #5 Trent Hidlay (NCST)
#3 Aaron Brooks (PSU) fall #32 Antonio Agee (ODU)

197 lbs.
Semifinals
#4 Ben Darmstadt (COR) dec. #8 Patrick Brucki (PRIN)
#2 Noah Adams (WVU) dec. #11 Tanner Sloan (SDSU)

Consolations
#21 Shakur Rasheed (PSU) dec. #24 Gage Braun (NIU)
#16 Ethan Laird (RID) maj. #6 Christian Brunner (PUR)
#5 Jacob Warner (IOWA) fall #7 Jay Aiello (UVA)
#14 Dakota Geer (OKST) maj. #1 Kollin Moore (OSU)

285 lbs.
Semifinals
#1 Gable Steveson (MINN) dec. #5 Matt Stencel (CMU)
#2 Mason Parris (MICH) tf. #11 Gannon Gremmel (ISU)

Consolations
#4 Tanner Hall (ASU) tf. #25 Jon Spaulding (EDIN)
#9 Jordan Wood (LEH) dec. #6 Trent Hillger (WISC)
#7 Demetrius Thomas (PITT) tf. #13 Brian Andrews (WYO)
#14 Carter Isley (UNI) maj. #10 Yaraslau Slavikouski (HARV)

Team Standings (after semifinals)
1. Iowa 108.5
2. Penn State 68.5
3. Ohio State 54
4. Arizona State 48
5. Iowa State 43.5
6. Princeton 42
7. Nebraska 40.5
t8. Northwestern/Wisconsin 38
10. Oklahoma State 37.5
11. NC State 34.5
12. Missouri 33.5
13. Oklahoma 32
14. Lehigh/Stanford 29.5
t16. Minnesota/Virginia Tech 28.5
t18. Cornell/Northern Iowa 27.5
20. Central Michigan 27

 

[regularfan]

Consolation Semifinals

Iowa has clinched the team title. Both Aaron Brooks (Venz) and Shakur Rasheed (Laird, RID) were favorites in their consolation semifinals according to wrestlestat but didn't hit their numbers. They will wrestle for 7th as the highest Penn State can score is 98.5. Iowa is already at 108.5.

125 lbs.
#4 Jack Mueller (UVA) tf. #5 Devin Schroder (PUR)
#3 Nicholas Piccininni (OKST) dec. #10 Jakob Camachio (NCST)

133 lbs.
#17 Taylor LaMont (UVU) maj. #3 Charles Tucker (COR)
#10 Sammy Alvarez (RUT) maj. #19 Allan Hart (MIZZ)

141 lbs.
#1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) tf. #18 Mitch Moore (VT)
#3 Real Woods (STAN) dec. #4 Ian Parker (ISU)

149 lbs.
#2 Austin O’Connor (UNC) dec. #14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO)
#13 Max Thomsen (UNI) fall #15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER)

157 lbs.
#9 Jacori Teemer (ASU) maj. #8 Kaleb Young (IOWA)
#7 Josh Humphreys (LEH) maj. #16 Jared Franek (NDSU)

165 lbs.
#4 Travis Wittlake (OKST) dec. #8 Evan Wick (WISC)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) dec. #3 Shane Griffith (STAN)

174 lbs.
#9 Anthony Mantanona (OU) dec. #3 Jordan Kutler (LEH)
#10 Mikey Labriola (NEB) tf. #12 Joseph Smith (OKST)

184 lbs.
#12 Zach Carlson (SDSU) dec. #6 Cameron Caffey (MSU)
#7 Taylor Venz (WISC) dec. #3 Aaron Brooks (PSU)

197 lbs.
#16 Ethan Laird (RID) dec. #21 Shakur Rasheed (PSU)
#14 Dakota Geer (OKST) dec. #5 Jacob Warner (IOWA)

285 lbs.
#4 Tanner Hall (ASU) dec. #9 Jordan Wood (LEH)
#7 Demetrius Thomas (PITT) maj. #14 Carter Isley (UNI)

 

[regularfan]

Setting the stage for Saturday. We will have consolation semifinals starting at 11 a.m. followed by 3rd, 5th, & 7th place matches.

125 lbs.
Championship bout
#1 Spencer Lee (IOWA) vs. #2 Pat Glory (PRIN)

Consolation semifinals
#4 Jack Mueller (UVA) vs. #6 Drew Hildebradnt (CMU)
#3 Nicholas Piccininni (OKST) vs. #28 Jackson DiSario (STAN)

7th place
#5 Devin Schroder (PUR) vs. #10 Jakob Camachio (NCST)

133 lbs.
Championship bout
#1 Sebastian Rivera (NW) vs. #2 Seth Gross (WISC)

Consolation semifinals
#6 Austin DeSanto (IOWA) vs. #17 Taylor LaMont (UVU)
#10 Sammy Alvarez (RUT) vs. #21 Derek Spann (BUFF)

7th place
#3 Charles Tucker (COR) vs. #19 Allan Hart (MIZZ)

141 lbs.
Championship bout
#2 Nick Lee (PSU) vs. #5 Dom Demas (OKLA)

Consolation semifinals
#1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) vs. #11 Zachary Sherman (UNC)
#3 Real Woods (STAN) vs. #8 Joshua Heil (CAMP)

7th place
#4 Ian Parker (ISU) vs. #18 Mitch Moore (VT)

149 lbs.
Championship bout
#1 Pat Lugo (IOWA) vs. #3 Sammy Sasso (OSU)

Consolation semifinals
#2 Austin O’Connor (UNC) vs. #18 Jonathan Millner (APP)
#4 Brock Mauller (MIZZ) vs. #13 Max Thomsen (UNI)

7th place
#14 Andrew Alirez (UNCO) vs. #15 Kizhan Clarke (AMER)

157 lbs.
Championship bout
#1 Ryan Deakin (NW) vs. #3 David Carr (ISU)

Consolation semifinals
#2 Hayden Hidlay (NCST) vs. #9 Jacori Teemer (ASU)
#7 Josh Humphreys (LEH) vs. #20 Jake Tucker (MSU)

7th place
#8 Kaleb Young (IOWA) vs. #16 Jared Franek (NDSU)

165 lbs.
Championship bout
#5 Isaiah White (NEB) vs. #6 Josh Shields (ASU)

Consolation semifinals
#2 Vincenzo Joseph (PSU) vs. #4 Travis Wittlake (OKST)
#10 Thomas Bullard (NCST) vs. #16 Zach Hartman (BUCK)

7th place
#3 Shane Griffith (STAN) vs. #8 Evan Wick (WISC)

174 lbs.
Championship bout
#1 Mark Hall (PSU) dec. #6 Kaleb Romero (OSU)

Consolation semifinals
#2 Michael Kemerer (IOWA) vs. #9 Anthony Mantanona (OU)
#10 Mikey Labriola (NEB) vs. #20 Connor Flynn (MIZZ)

7th place
#3 Jordan Kutler (LEH) vs. #12 Joseph Smith (OKST)

184 lbs.
Championship bout
#11 Abe Assad (IOWA) vs. #17 Noah Stewart (ARMY)

Consolation semifinals
#2 Hunter Bolen (VT) vs. #12 Zach Carlson (SDSU)
#4 Lou DePrez (BING) vs. #7 Taylor Venz (NEB)

7th place
#3 Aaron Brooks (PSU) vs. #6 Cameron Caffey (MSU)

197 lbs.
Championship bout
#2 Noah Adams (WVU) vs. #4 Ben Darmstadt (COR)

Consolation semifinals
#11 Tanner Sloan (SDSU) vs. #16 Ethan Laird (RID)
#8 Patrick Brucki (PRIN) vs. #14 Dakota Geer (OKST)

7th place
#5 Jacob Warner (IOWA) vs. #21 Shakur Rasheed (PSU)

285 lbs.
Championship bout
#1 Gable Steveson (MINN) vs. #2 Mason Parris (MICH)

Consolation semifinals
#4 Tanner Hall (ASU) vs. #11 Gannon Gremmel (ISU)
#5 Matt Stencel (CMU) vs. #5 Demetrius Thomas (PITT)

7th place
#9 Jordan Wood (LEH) vs. #14 Carter Isley (UNI)

Team Standings heading into Saturday
1. Iowa 108.5; 3 CH, 2 CS, 2 7th
2. Penn State 68.5; 2 CH, 1 CS, 2 7th
3. Ohio State 59; 2 CH, 1 CS
4. Arizona State 56; 1 CH, 2 CS
5. Oklahoma State 48; 3 CS, 1 7th
6. Nebraska 44; 1 CH, 2 CS
7. Iowa State 43.5; 1 CH, 1 CS, 1 7th
8. Princeton 42; 1 CH, 1 CS
t9. Northwestern 38; 2 CH
t9. Wisconsin 38; 1 CH, 1 7th
11. Oklahoma 35.5; 1 CH, 1 CS
12. NC State 34.5; 2 CS, 1 7th
13. Lehigh 34; 2 7th
14. Missouri 33.5; 2 CS, 1 7th
t15. Northern Iowa 33; 1 CS, 1 7th
t15. Stanford 33; 2 CS, 1 7th
17. North Carolina 30; 2 CS
t18. Minnesota 28.5; 1 CH
t18. Virginia Tech 28.5; 1 CS, 1 7th
20. Cornell 27.5; 1 CH, 1 7th

Other notables outside top 20:
2 All-Americans: Central Michigan, Michigan State, South Dakota State
1 All-American: American, Appalachian State, Army, Binghamton, Bucknell, Buffalo, Campbell, Lehigh, Michigan, Minnesota, North Dakota State, Northern Colorado, Pittsburgh, Purdue, Rider, Rutgers, Utah Valley, Virginia, West Virginia

 

[niteowlgt]

You forgot Tom Brands gets laryngitis & due to Terry being an identical twin also becomes barkless. Oh, those genetics .Sounds like the piccolo & the fife. Due to the new medical guidelines the remedy is you have to be 5'5" or Iowa has to have any pro sports team. NQ!

 

[BFosr1]

Ha! Love Moore getting pinned.

Why?