157
#1 J. Nolf PSU 9-0
#2 T. Berger NEB 8-1
#3 R. Deakin NU 7-2
#4 A. Pantaleo UM 6-2
#5 K. Young IA 5-2
#6 S. Bleise MN 6-3
#7 K. Hayes tOSU 4-4
#8 E. Barone ILL 3-6
#9 J. Danishek IND 5-3
#10 J. Van Brill RUT 4-5
Ahhhh…this is the way it should be. The top four settled it on the mat at 157. #1 Nolf (PSU) beat #2 Berger (NEB), #3 Deakin (NU), and #4 Pantaleo (UM). Berger beat Deakin, and Deakin beat Pantaleo. None of these four lost to anyone lower seeded, and while every match-up didn’t happen, enough HTH bouts did to make it clean (come on, B1G, don’t blow it!). Pantaleo’s move from 149 to 157 happened 1/5/19, and he did get nine bouts in, meeting the requisite eight for Silver Standard. He will earn the Big Ten an allocation slot.
As tidy as it is at the top, the next four were brutal to get through. I suspect the Big Ten Committee will look solely at conference record, and this is one of those cases where I did too, but before listing my seeds, I want you to see the facts. The conference records range from 5-2 (Young, IA) to 3-6 (Barone, ILL), with 6-3 (Bleise, MN), and 4-4 (Hayes, tOSU) in between, but using the records alone is misleading;
-- Young beat Bleise, lost to Barone. Best record (5-2), but four of five wins were to the bottom five guys.
-- Bleise beat Barone, lost to Young. Similar record (6-3), but other five wins were to bottom six guys.
-- Barone beat Young, lost to Bleise. Worst record (3-6), but four losses were to top four guys.
-- Hayes beat Barone, and only lost to the top four guys (he is 4-4), didn’t wrestle Young or Bleise. He also lost to Barone at Cliff Keen. Other three wins were to bottom six guys.
Doubt many dig this deep, and look for differentiation the way my process does. I suspect a Young, Bleise, Hayes, Barone order from the Big Ten. Even though it’s lame, I’m doing the same, as not a shred of evidence points otherwise. As a group, they lost every match to those in front of them, beat everyone below them, and beat up each other enough to call it the closest "group of four" I’ve seen in my decade plus of doing this. So, it’s #5 Young, #6 Bleise, #7 Hayes, and #8 Barone…and after looking at this to exhaustion, I’m moving on.
#9 Danishek (IND) had a nice record, 5-3, but it’s misleading as he had wins against back-ups (van Anrooy vs UM, and Glosser vs IA), when he could have battled two top five guys. He had no other good wins, and lost to #10 Van Brill (RUT). #11 Parriott (PUR) does own a win vs Van Brill, but lost to #12 Tucker (MSU), a guy with only one other conference win, so Parriott’s fate was sealed with that loss. My last two are guys that joined in late, hence their low match count, as #13 Model and #14 Diehl wrap it up. Same Ryan Diehl that handed Jason Nolf his only High School loss, by the way…now one is seeded first, the other last, years later.
#1 J. Nolf PSU 9-0
#2 T. Berger NEB 8-1
#3 R. Deakin NU 7-2
#4 A. Pantaleo UM 6-2
#5 K. Young IA 5-2
#6 S. Bleise MN 6-3
#7 K. Hayes tOSU 4-4
#8 E. Barone ILL 3-6
#9 J. Danishek IND 5-3
#10 J. Van Brill RUT 4-5
Ahhhh…this is the way it should be. The top four settled it on the mat at 157. #1 Nolf (PSU) beat #2 Berger (NEB), #3 Deakin (NU), and #4 Pantaleo (UM). Berger beat Deakin, and Deakin beat Pantaleo. None of these four lost to anyone lower seeded, and while every match-up didn’t happen, enough HTH bouts did to make it clean (come on, B1G, don’t blow it!). Pantaleo’s move from 149 to 157 happened 1/5/19, and he did get nine bouts in, meeting the requisite eight for Silver Standard. He will earn the Big Ten an allocation slot.
As tidy as it is at the top, the next four were brutal to get through. I suspect the Big Ten Committee will look solely at conference record, and this is one of those cases where I did too, but before listing my seeds, I want you to see the facts. The conference records range from 5-2 (Young, IA) to 3-6 (Barone, ILL), with 6-3 (Bleise, MN), and 4-4 (Hayes, tOSU) in between, but using the records alone is misleading;
-- Young beat Bleise, lost to Barone. Best record (5-2), but four of five wins were to the bottom five guys.
-- Bleise beat Barone, lost to Young. Similar record (6-3), but other five wins were to bottom six guys.
-- Barone beat Young, lost to Bleise. Worst record (3-6), but four losses were to top four guys.
-- Hayes beat Barone, and only lost to the top four guys (he is 4-4), didn’t wrestle Young or Bleise. He also lost to Barone at Cliff Keen. Other three wins were to bottom six guys.
Doubt many dig this deep, and look for differentiation the way my process does. I suspect a Young, Bleise, Hayes, Barone order from the Big Ten. Even though it’s lame, I’m doing the same, as not a shred of evidence points otherwise. As a group, they lost every match to those in front of them, beat everyone below them, and beat up each other enough to call it the closest "group of four" I’ve seen in my decade plus of doing this. So, it’s #5 Young, #6 Bleise, #7 Hayes, and #8 Barone…and after looking at this to exhaustion, I’m moving on.
#9 Danishek (IND) had a nice record, 5-3, but it’s misleading as he had wins against back-ups (van Anrooy vs UM, and Glosser vs IA), when he could have battled two top five guys. He had no other good wins, and lost to #10 Van Brill (RUT). #11 Parriott (PUR) does own a win vs Van Brill, but lost to #12 Tucker (MSU), a guy with only one other conference win, so Parriott’s fate was sealed with that loss. My last two are guys that joined in late, hence their low match count, as #13 Model and #14 Diehl wrap it up. Same Ryan Diehl that handed Jason Nolf his only High School loss, by the way…now one is seeded first, the other last, years later.