Based off of the coaches rank from last week, the RPI rankings in wrestlestat, and a wrestler's DI winning percentage at their weight I went through to look at what the big 10 is looking like for allocations.
Just to note, this is not my attempt at a prediction of who will and won't make nationals, just who were earn an allocation slot for the conference. If somebody has an N/A for RPI I am guessing they will not meet the 15 match minimum.
Big Ten had 78 allocations last year and I think that number is going to be in the 84-88 range this year. If it ended up being all the minimums in my ranges the bid allocation would be 71, maximum in ranges gives the conference 100 allocations.
125 lbs: 7-8 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (6)
Lee (Iowa): 1 CR, 3 RPI, 100.0%
DeAugustino (NW): 6 CR, 8 RPI, 72.2%
Schroder (Pur): 7 CR, 9 RPI, 82.6%
P. McKee (Minn): 13 CR, 12 RPI, 75.0%
Aguilar (Rut): 14 CR, 10 RPI, 75.0%
Barnett (Wis): 18 CR, 17 RPI, 75.0%
Leaning in (1)
Cardini (Ill): 26 CR, 19 RPI, 68.8%
Work to do (1)
Medley (Mich): 33 CR, 25 RPI, 55.0%
Unlikely (6)
Meredith (PSU): 32 RPI, 52.9%
Heinselman (OSU): 39 RPI, 42.9%
Thomsen (Neb): 41 RPI, 40.0%
Cronin (Ind): 43 RPI, 42.1%
Griffith (MSU): 51 RPI, 62.5%
Cray (Md): 64 RPI, 18.8%
133 lbs.: 7-10 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
Gross (Wis): 1 CR, 3 RPI, 94.7%
DeSanto (Iowa): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 92.3%
Rivera (NW): 3 CR, N/A RPI, 77.8%
Bravo-Young (PSU): 4 CR, 6 RPI, 100.0%
Piotrowski (Ill): 8 CR, 7 RPI, 89.5%
Alvarez (Rut): 9 CR, 9 RPI, 79.2%
Lovett (Neb): 13 CR, 17 RPI, 60.0%
Leaning in (1)
Decatur (OSU): 22 CR, 11 RPI, 60.0%
Work to do (2)
Pepple (MSU): 32 CR, 30 RPI, 58.3%
Silva (Mich): RPI, 100.0% (just 3 matches) – needs matches to get 8 min and coaches rank
Unlikely (4)
Ford-Melton (Pur): 45 RPI, 55.6%
C. Rooks (Ind): 51 RPI, 60.0%
Sandoval (Md): 56 RPI, 42.1%
Jones (Minn): 57 RPI, 31.3%
141 lbs.: 7-9 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
Pletcher (OSU): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Lee (PSU): 2 CR, 4 RPI, 100.0%
M. McKee (Minn): 3 CR, 12 RPI, 88.0%
Moran (Wis): 6 CR, 6 RPI, 82.4%
Red (Neb): 9 CR, 10 RPI, 68.8%
Murin (Iowa): 10 CR, N/A RPI, 88.9%
Duncan (Ill): 13 CR, 11 RPI, 66.7%
Leaning in (0)
Work to do (2)
Filius (Pur): 31 CR, 33 RPI, 75.0%
C. Mattin (Mich): 33 CR, 32 RPI, 52.9%
Unlikely (5)
Aragona (Rut): 44 RPI, 53.3%
McKenna (NW): 45 RPI, 44.4%
Santos (MSU): 57 RPI, 55.0%
Baxter (Md): 64 RPI, 26.3%
Bolivar (Ind): 70 RPI, 18.2%
149 lbs.: 8-10 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (8)
Lugo (Iowa): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 92.3%
Lee (Minn): 4 CR, 5 RPI, 83.3%
Sasso (OSU): 6 CR, 3 RPI, 90.0%
Storr (Mich): 8 CR, 9 RPI, 83.3%
Martin (Wis): 12 CR, 23 RPI, 62.5%
Purinton (Neb): 14 CR, 12 RPI, 68.8%
Thomas (NW): 14 CR, 20 RPI, 64.3%
Parriott (Pur): 16 CR, 18 RPI, 70.6%
Leaning in (1)
G. Rooks (Ind): 21 CR, 35 RPI, 66.7% - hoping some above him in RPI don’t meet minimum matches
Work to do (1)
Verkleeren (PSU): 29 CR, 39 RPI, 78.6% - both of these could change easily
Unlikely (4)
Hrisopoulos (MSU): 38 RPI, 50.0%
Angelo (Rut): 41 RPI, 52.6%
Jodeh (Ill): 58 RPI, 16.7%
Doetsch (Md): 60 RPI, 40.0%
157 lbs.: 6-11 qualifiers, I am going to guess 7 at min, 8-9 at most
Spot appears secure (6)
Deakin (NW): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Young (Iowa): 4 CR, 5 RPI, 84.6%
Coleman (Pur): 7 CR, 6 RPI, 78.6%
Lewan (Mich): 10 CR, 11 RPI, 77.8%
Robb (Neb): 17 CR, 24 RPI, 75.0%
Tucker (MSU): 21 CR, 18 RPI, 80.8%
Leaning in (1)
Jones (Md): 24 CR, 26 RPI, 73.3%
Work to do (4)
Cleary (OSU): 31 CR, 47 RPI, 52.6%
Scharenbrock (Wis): 32 RPI, 61.1%
Thomas (Minn): 33 RPI, 50.0%
Van Brill (Rut): 36 RPI, 56.0%
Unlikely (3)
Pipher (PSU): 43 RPI, 43.8%
Barone (Ill): 45 RPI, 47.1%
Silva (Ind): 53 RPI, 31.8%
165 lbs.: 6-10 qualifiers, guessing it will be 8-9
Spot appears secure (6)
Joseph (PSU): 1 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Marinelli (Iowa): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Wick (Wis): 4 CR, 4 RPI, 90.0%
White (Neb): 5 CR, 7 RPI, 78.6%
Smith (OSU): 11 CR, 10 RPI, 60.0%
D. Braunagel (Ill): 13 CR, 21 RPI, 76.2%
Leaning in (2)
Oster (NW): 20 CR, 27 RPI, 61.1%
O'Reilly (Minn): 26 CR, 22 RPI, 68.2%
Work to do (2)
Hughes (MSU): 27 CR, 33 RPI, 65.0%
Donner (Rut): 32 CR, 42 RPI, 58.3%
Unlikely (4)
Cochran (Md): 53 RPI, 66.7%
Tunon (Ind): 60 RPI, 30.0%
Meisinger (Mich): N/A RPI, 33.3%
Webster (Pur): N/A RPI, 25.0%
174 lbs. 7-12 qualifiers, most likely no more than 10 but very easily could be 10
Spot appears secure (7)
Hall (PSU): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Kemmerer (Iowa): 2 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Lydy (Pur): 4 CR, 3 RPI, 95.7%
Labriola (Neb): 6 CR, 9 RPI, 70.6%
Romero (OSU): 7 CR, 4 RPI, 82.4%
Skatzka (Minn): 9 CR, 19 RPI, 80.8%
Gunther (Ill): 13 CR, 12 RPI, 75.0%
Leaning in (3)
Malczewski (MSU): 23 CR, 27 RPI, 66.7%
Cavaciu (Ind): 27 CR, 17 RPI, 60.9%
Spadafora (Md): 28 CR, 30 RPI, 60.9%
Work to do (2)
Grello (Rut): 30 CR, N/A RPI, 55.6% - more unlikely just because he is currently hurt
Morland (NW): 25 RPI, 57.1% - will need to hope for coaches rank if he can win matches
Unlikely (2)
Krattinger (Wis) 38 RPI, 35.3%
Maylor (Mich): 60 RPI, 23.1%
184 lbs.: 9-11 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (9)
Venz (Neb): 6 CR, 4 RPI, 64.7%
Assad (Iowa): 7 CR, 7 RPI, 85.7%
Brooks (PSU): 8 CR, N/A RPI, 87.5%
Embree (Mich): 13 CR, 24 RPI, 71.4%
Z. Braunagel (Ill): 14 CR, 10 RPI, 68.4%
Caffey (MSU): 17 CR, 18 RPI, 76.0%
Webster (Minn): 19 CR, 16 RPI, 69.6%
Janzer (Rut): 21 CR, 25 RPI, 75.0%
Jordan (OSU): 26 CR, 21 RPI, 78.6%
Leaning in (1)
Sebastian (Wis): 18 CR, N/A RPI, 66.7% - has just 9 bouts so can pick his matches to get winning percentage
Work to do (1)
Lyon (Pur): 33 CR, 32 RPI, 60.9%
Unlikely (3)
Jessen (NW): 31 RPI, 56.5%
Jasenski (Md): 44 RPI, 45.0%
Hinz (Ind): 63 RPI, 25.0%
197 lbs. 7-9 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
Moore (OSU): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Warner (Iowa): 4 CR, 6 RPI, 76.9%
Brunner (Pur): 5 CR, 5 RPI, 78.3%
Schultz (Neb): 8 CR, 10 RPI, 88.2%
Davison (NW): 13 CR, 16 RPI, 71.4%
Pagano (Rut): 18 CR, 15 RPI, 72.7%
Ritter (Minn): 27 CR, 22 RPI, 58.3%
Leaning in (1)
J. Striggow (Mich): 28 RPI, 75.0%
Work to do (1)
Rasheed (PSU): N/A RPI, 50.0% - needs to go 5-1 or better which should get him a coaches rank and would put him right on the 70% mark and then hope the allocations don’t slide up or do an open tournament instead of wrestling senior day
Unlikely (5)
Wrobleski (Ill): 33 RPI, 37.5%
May (MSU): 47 RPI, 45.8%
Smith (Md): 48 RPI, 53.3%
Willham (Ind): 54 RPI, 40.9%
Christensen (Wis): 60 RPI, 40.0%
285 lbs.: 7-10 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
G. Steveson (Minn): 1 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Parris (Mich): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Cassioppi (Iowa): 3 CR, 2 RPI, 100.0%
Hillger (Wis): 5 CR, 5 RPI, 84.2%
Lance (Neb): 16 CR, 14, 57.1%
Nevills (PSU): 20 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Traub (OSU): 22 CR, 17 RPI, 68.8%
Leaning in (1)
Penola (Pur): 26 CR, 16 RPI, 61.1%
Work to do (2)
Luffman (Ill): 31 CR, 30 RPI, 60.0%
Colucci (Rut): 36 RPI, 80.0% - if he wrestles he would be candidate for coaches rank I would think
Unlikely (4)
Rebottaro (MSU): 44 RPI, 58.3%
Heyob (NW): 57 RPI, 0.0%
Robinson (Md): 69 RPI, 6.3%
Kleimola (Ind): N/A RPI, 33.3%
Just to note, this is not my attempt at a prediction of who will and won't make nationals, just who were earn an allocation slot for the conference. If somebody has an N/A for RPI I am guessing they will not meet the 15 match minimum.
Big Ten had 78 allocations last year and I think that number is going to be in the 84-88 range this year. If it ended up being all the minimums in my ranges the bid allocation would be 71, maximum in ranges gives the conference 100 allocations.
125 lbs: 7-8 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (6)
Lee (Iowa): 1 CR, 3 RPI, 100.0%
DeAugustino (NW): 6 CR, 8 RPI, 72.2%
Schroder (Pur): 7 CR, 9 RPI, 82.6%
P. McKee (Minn): 13 CR, 12 RPI, 75.0%
Aguilar (Rut): 14 CR, 10 RPI, 75.0%
Barnett (Wis): 18 CR, 17 RPI, 75.0%
Leaning in (1)
Cardini (Ill): 26 CR, 19 RPI, 68.8%
Work to do (1)
Medley (Mich): 33 CR, 25 RPI, 55.0%
Unlikely (6)
Meredith (PSU): 32 RPI, 52.9%
Heinselman (OSU): 39 RPI, 42.9%
Thomsen (Neb): 41 RPI, 40.0%
Cronin (Ind): 43 RPI, 42.1%
Griffith (MSU): 51 RPI, 62.5%
Cray (Md): 64 RPI, 18.8%
133 lbs.: 7-10 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
Gross (Wis): 1 CR, 3 RPI, 94.7%
DeSanto (Iowa): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 92.3%
Rivera (NW): 3 CR, N/A RPI, 77.8%
Bravo-Young (PSU): 4 CR, 6 RPI, 100.0%
Piotrowski (Ill): 8 CR, 7 RPI, 89.5%
Alvarez (Rut): 9 CR, 9 RPI, 79.2%
Lovett (Neb): 13 CR, 17 RPI, 60.0%
Leaning in (1)
Decatur (OSU): 22 CR, 11 RPI, 60.0%
Work to do (2)
Pepple (MSU): 32 CR, 30 RPI, 58.3%
Silva (Mich): RPI, 100.0% (just 3 matches) – needs matches to get 8 min and coaches rank
Unlikely (4)
Ford-Melton (Pur): 45 RPI, 55.6%
C. Rooks (Ind): 51 RPI, 60.0%
Sandoval (Md): 56 RPI, 42.1%
Jones (Minn): 57 RPI, 31.3%
141 lbs.: 7-9 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
Pletcher (OSU): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Lee (PSU): 2 CR, 4 RPI, 100.0%
M. McKee (Minn): 3 CR, 12 RPI, 88.0%
Moran (Wis): 6 CR, 6 RPI, 82.4%
Red (Neb): 9 CR, 10 RPI, 68.8%
Murin (Iowa): 10 CR, N/A RPI, 88.9%
Duncan (Ill): 13 CR, 11 RPI, 66.7%
Leaning in (0)
Work to do (2)
Filius (Pur): 31 CR, 33 RPI, 75.0%
C. Mattin (Mich): 33 CR, 32 RPI, 52.9%
Unlikely (5)
Aragona (Rut): 44 RPI, 53.3%
McKenna (NW): 45 RPI, 44.4%
Santos (MSU): 57 RPI, 55.0%
Baxter (Md): 64 RPI, 26.3%
Bolivar (Ind): 70 RPI, 18.2%
149 lbs.: 8-10 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (8)
Lugo (Iowa): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 92.3%
Lee (Minn): 4 CR, 5 RPI, 83.3%
Sasso (OSU): 6 CR, 3 RPI, 90.0%
Storr (Mich): 8 CR, 9 RPI, 83.3%
Martin (Wis): 12 CR, 23 RPI, 62.5%
Purinton (Neb): 14 CR, 12 RPI, 68.8%
Thomas (NW): 14 CR, 20 RPI, 64.3%
Parriott (Pur): 16 CR, 18 RPI, 70.6%
Leaning in (1)
G. Rooks (Ind): 21 CR, 35 RPI, 66.7% - hoping some above him in RPI don’t meet minimum matches
Work to do (1)
Verkleeren (PSU): 29 CR, 39 RPI, 78.6% - both of these could change easily
Unlikely (4)
Hrisopoulos (MSU): 38 RPI, 50.0%
Angelo (Rut): 41 RPI, 52.6%
Jodeh (Ill): 58 RPI, 16.7%
Doetsch (Md): 60 RPI, 40.0%
157 lbs.: 6-11 qualifiers, I am going to guess 7 at min, 8-9 at most
Spot appears secure (6)
Deakin (NW): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Young (Iowa): 4 CR, 5 RPI, 84.6%
Coleman (Pur): 7 CR, 6 RPI, 78.6%
Lewan (Mich): 10 CR, 11 RPI, 77.8%
Robb (Neb): 17 CR, 24 RPI, 75.0%
Tucker (MSU): 21 CR, 18 RPI, 80.8%
Leaning in (1)
Jones (Md): 24 CR, 26 RPI, 73.3%
Work to do (4)
Cleary (OSU): 31 CR, 47 RPI, 52.6%
Scharenbrock (Wis): 32 RPI, 61.1%
Thomas (Minn): 33 RPI, 50.0%
Van Brill (Rut): 36 RPI, 56.0%
Unlikely (3)
Pipher (PSU): 43 RPI, 43.8%
Barone (Ill): 45 RPI, 47.1%
Silva (Ind): 53 RPI, 31.8%
165 lbs.: 6-10 qualifiers, guessing it will be 8-9
Spot appears secure (6)
Joseph (PSU): 1 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Marinelli (Iowa): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Wick (Wis): 4 CR, 4 RPI, 90.0%
White (Neb): 5 CR, 7 RPI, 78.6%
Smith (OSU): 11 CR, 10 RPI, 60.0%
D. Braunagel (Ill): 13 CR, 21 RPI, 76.2%
Leaning in (2)
Oster (NW): 20 CR, 27 RPI, 61.1%
O'Reilly (Minn): 26 CR, 22 RPI, 68.2%
Work to do (2)
Hughes (MSU): 27 CR, 33 RPI, 65.0%
Donner (Rut): 32 CR, 42 RPI, 58.3%
Unlikely (4)
Cochran (Md): 53 RPI, 66.7%
Tunon (Ind): 60 RPI, 30.0%
Meisinger (Mich): N/A RPI, 33.3%
Webster (Pur): N/A RPI, 25.0%
174 lbs. 7-12 qualifiers, most likely no more than 10 but very easily could be 10
Spot appears secure (7)
Hall (PSU): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Kemmerer (Iowa): 2 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Lydy (Pur): 4 CR, 3 RPI, 95.7%
Labriola (Neb): 6 CR, 9 RPI, 70.6%
Romero (OSU): 7 CR, 4 RPI, 82.4%
Skatzka (Minn): 9 CR, 19 RPI, 80.8%
Gunther (Ill): 13 CR, 12 RPI, 75.0%
Leaning in (3)
Malczewski (MSU): 23 CR, 27 RPI, 66.7%
Cavaciu (Ind): 27 CR, 17 RPI, 60.9%
Spadafora (Md): 28 CR, 30 RPI, 60.9%
Work to do (2)
Grello (Rut): 30 CR, N/A RPI, 55.6% - more unlikely just because he is currently hurt
Morland (NW): 25 RPI, 57.1% - will need to hope for coaches rank if he can win matches
Unlikely (2)
Krattinger (Wis) 38 RPI, 35.3%
Maylor (Mich): 60 RPI, 23.1%
184 lbs.: 9-11 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (9)
Venz (Neb): 6 CR, 4 RPI, 64.7%
Assad (Iowa): 7 CR, 7 RPI, 85.7%
Brooks (PSU): 8 CR, N/A RPI, 87.5%
Embree (Mich): 13 CR, 24 RPI, 71.4%
Z. Braunagel (Ill): 14 CR, 10 RPI, 68.4%
Caffey (MSU): 17 CR, 18 RPI, 76.0%
Webster (Minn): 19 CR, 16 RPI, 69.6%
Janzer (Rut): 21 CR, 25 RPI, 75.0%
Jordan (OSU): 26 CR, 21 RPI, 78.6%
Leaning in (1)
Sebastian (Wis): 18 CR, N/A RPI, 66.7% - has just 9 bouts so can pick his matches to get winning percentage
Work to do (1)
Lyon (Pur): 33 CR, 32 RPI, 60.9%
Unlikely (3)
Jessen (NW): 31 RPI, 56.5%
Jasenski (Md): 44 RPI, 45.0%
Hinz (Ind): 63 RPI, 25.0%
197 lbs. 7-9 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
Moore (OSU): 1 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Warner (Iowa): 4 CR, 6 RPI, 76.9%
Brunner (Pur): 5 CR, 5 RPI, 78.3%
Schultz (Neb): 8 CR, 10 RPI, 88.2%
Davison (NW): 13 CR, 16 RPI, 71.4%
Pagano (Rut): 18 CR, 15 RPI, 72.7%
Ritter (Minn): 27 CR, 22 RPI, 58.3%
Leaning in (1)
J. Striggow (Mich): 28 RPI, 75.0%
Work to do (1)
Rasheed (PSU): N/A RPI, 50.0% - needs to go 5-1 or better which should get him a coaches rank and would put him right on the 70% mark and then hope the allocations don’t slide up or do an open tournament instead of wrestling senior day
Unlikely (5)
Wrobleski (Ill): 33 RPI, 37.5%
May (MSU): 47 RPI, 45.8%
Smith (Md): 48 RPI, 53.3%
Willham (Ind): 54 RPI, 40.9%
Christensen (Wis): 60 RPI, 40.0%
285 lbs.: 7-10 qualifiers
Spot appears secure (7)
G. Steveson (Minn): 1 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Parris (Mich): 2 CR, 1 RPI, 100.0%
Cassioppi (Iowa): 3 CR, 2 RPI, 100.0%
Hillger (Wis): 5 CR, 5 RPI, 84.2%
Lance (Neb): 16 CR, 14, 57.1%
Nevills (PSU): 20 CR, N/A RPI, 100.0%
Traub (OSU): 22 CR, 17 RPI, 68.8%
Leaning in (1)
Penola (Pur): 26 CR, 16 RPI, 61.1%
Work to do (2)
Luffman (Ill): 31 CR, 30 RPI, 60.0%
Colucci (Rut): 36 RPI, 80.0% - if he wrestles he would be candidate for coaches rank I would think
Unlikely (4)
Rebottaro (MSU): 44 RPI, 58.3%
Heyob (NW): 57 RPI, 0.0%
Robinson (Md): 69 RPI, 6.3%
Kleimola (Ind): N/A RPI, 33.3%
