@zzs006 Here's a head start for you -- a list of the likely competition for Zain and Spencer:

It's just a list with some credentials, but not an analysis of who the biggest obstacles will be. (Zain and Spencer might be the biggest obstacles to everyone else.)

The Transfer Portal opens up this coming Wednesday and remains open thru May 3.

Does anyone transfer in? Does anyone transfer out (ie Bearclaw)?

Stutzman fired by Buffalo.

Login to view embedded media

Here are some major class of '24 quarterbacks ranked by their average passer rating against top 40 defenses (as rated by SRS (https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/years/2023-ratings.html)), qualified slightly by strength of schedule where applicable. Only Qbs with at least 3 games against top 40 Ds were included.

One of the better lines in Moneyball was something like, "If he's such a good hitter, why doesn't he hit?" Some of these people - not the Eagles or Chiefs - focus on "tools" or whatever and don't seem to focus on what QBs actually did in college.

Additionally, drafting QBs in the first round, especially if you're terrible (like New England was last year), was always considered dangerous at best. This is not the MLB; you aren't drafting these players to send them to the minors for 3 years. All drafting a project like Drake Maye does is give you a project who will MOST LIKELY just learn bad habits and get the piss knocked out of him. Choosing that over Marvin Harrison Jr or some elite OT is quite a decision.

Unfortunately, the Rookie Pay Scale - aka the JaMarcus Russell Memorial Rookie Pay Scale - has insulated franchises from the consequences of terrible decisions somewhat.

All this to say Drew Allar could easily go top 5 next year. But he probably doesn't even have to be good to do it.....


1) Jayden Daniels, #2 overall:
Played 6 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 19.5. Average passer rating of 189.7 and 3-3 record.
Note: Major Stud Alert

2) Bo Nix, #12 overall:
Played 4 top 40 DSRS defenses (including both games with Washington) with an average rank of 28. Average passer rating of 160.7 and 2-2 record.
Note: He's solid.


3) JJ McCarthy, #10 overall:
Played 7 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 13. Average passer rating of 154.8 and 7-0 record.
Note: literally the typical Michigan passing gameplan was to avoid passing as much as possible, hence why McCarthy has ridiculous stat lines like 7/8 against Penn State. McCarthy is a mystery with often sketchy footwork. Could be anywhere from really good to disappointing. Taking something like that tenth overall would have been considered crazy before the Rookie Pay Scale. It's still kinda crazy.

4) Sam Hartman, UDFA
Played 6 top 40 defenses with an average rank of 21.5. Average passer rating of 148 and 3-3 record.
Note: I like Hartman a LOT but his being this high did surprise me. Hartman played badly against Clemson (70.9 PR), but was merely mehish against Louisville, very good against Ohio State and Duke (considering how good their Ds were), an absolutely trashed surprisingly good Navy and NC State defenses. Hartman may not be quite as good as this looks, but his not getting drafted is pretty crazy.

5) Michael Penix, #8 overall:
Played 7 (including both games with Oregon, that is) top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 13. Average passer rating of 141.5 and 6-1 record.
Note: I like him more than his numbers, and his numbers aren't bad.


6) Jordan Travis, 5th round:
Played 3 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 21. Average passer rating of 142 and 3-0 record.

7) Caleb Williams, #1 overall:
Played 6 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 15.8. Average passer rating of 141.4 and 1-5 record.
Note: I'll give Williams some slack as far as the 1-5 record - his defense was AWFUL - but the passer rating doesn't lie; he isn't better than Penix, McCarthy (!), or Hartman (!), and he isn't even close to Daniels or Nix. Well, okay, I do think he's probably better than McCarthy, but, uh, it isn't OBVIOUS that he is.


8) Devin Leary, 6th round:
Played 6 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 14.6. Average passer rating of 133.7 and 1-5 record.

9t) Drake Maye, #3 overall:
Played 3 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 28.3. Average passer rating of 129.3 and 1-2 record.
Note: New England drafting this massive project QB instead of an OT or Marvin Harrison is insanely laughable. Unfortunately, the Rookie Pay Scale (which was incorporated after the JaMarcus Russell debacle) has insulated franchises from the consequences of obviously idiotic decisions like this one.


9t) Jason Bean UDFA:
Played 3 top 40 defenses with an average rank of 23.7. Average passer rating of 128.2 and 2-1 record.
Note: Considering that Drake Maye padded his stats massively in garbage time against ND, you could argue Bean is better. "Oh, but the tools."

11) Joe Milton, 6th round:
Played 4 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 16. Average passer rating of 116.6 and 1-3 record.
Note: Drake Maye is the White Joe Milton or Joe Milton is the Black Drake Maye. "Oh, but the tools." I can't believe New England drafted both.

12) Jack Plummer, UDFA:
Played 4 top 40 defenses with an average rank of 16.3. Average passer rating of 112.8 and 3-1 record.


13) Tanner Mordecai, UDFA:
Played 3 top 40 defenses with an average ranking of 17.6. Average passer rating of 111 and 2-1 record.


14) Spencer Rattler ROFLMAO 5th round:
Played 5 top 40 DSRS defenses with an average rank of 19.2 Average passer rating of 98.4 and 0-5 record.
Note: this guy was so bad (way worse than 2023 Drew Allar) I'm amazed some idiotic team didn't draft him much higher.

With spanking already done - can a golden...

this thread is for daily updates on...

Bidenomics at work...

LOL... Can the left be any more desperate for...

The Class of 2024 is pretty much full give or...

The end of democracy is now here.... Courtesy...

Login to view embedded media
Ohio...

[URL...

Would love to know how a 27 year old teacher affords two homes..

Something tells me her victims weren't her "only fans" or she moonlighted at Savannahs as a "dancer'.

Failure. Just like Joe Biden himself...

Money doesn't talk, it screams bloody murder.

Login to view embedded media
Teams...

It took just days for 2025 four-star TE to see PennState as the favorite in his recruitment, followed by a commitment not too long after.

“I’m ready, there’s no other place I’d rather be. Nothing is going to change my mind”