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Wind and solar falling behind

The Spin Meister

Well-Known Member
Gold Member
Nov 27, 2012
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An altered state
Seems that wind and solar are falling in true capacity compared to nat gas. But what the greenies like @rumble_lion tell you is they are gaining because they don’t list true capacity. Wind only produces about 40% of its listed capacity and industry scale solar only about 15%.

Much more in article:

The difference between actual power generation and nameplate is called the “capacity factor” or CF for the generator. The typical capacity factors for different generating technologies are pretty well known, although they can vary from machine to machine.

To be generous to renewables, let’s say that solar has a CF of 15% and wind 40%. (The standard numbers are lower.) Gas easily has 80%. Applying these factors to our construction numbers gives the following actual generating capacities:

  • Gas: 19,000 x 0.8 = 15,200 MW
  • Wind: 9,000 x 0.4 = 3,600 MW
  • Solar: 7,000 x 0.15 = 1,050 MW
So, our new gas capacity is around 15,200 MW while new renewables are just 4,650 MW, which is 31% or less than a third as much actual generating capacity.

Put another way, America increased its fossil fuel generating capacity by three times as much as it did for renewables. Clearly renewables are falling behind fossil fuels, and by a lot.




 
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