PSU -11 1/2 looks fishy

[BFPSU]

Just talking from a gambling perspective. When I was thinking about the line earlier this week, I figured maybe PSU-4. IMO, the current line is begging you to take Rutgers, it looks like a trap (how can anyone trust PSU this year)...so I’m going to put a little on PSU today.

 

[LaJolla Lion]

Agree. They are not 11 points better than anyone this year.

 

[bvillebaron]

Agree. They are not 11 points better than anyone this year.

Vegas doesn’t make money by being stupid.

 

[BFPSU]

Vegas doesn’t make money by being stupid.

Yep...that’s why I bet PSU....can’t lie and say they made it easy on me. I definitely thought I was getting back doored. LOL

 

[stf110]

Agree. They are not 11 points better than anyone this year.

No, but it takes an "11.5" up there to make people stop betting on Penn State and putting some money on Rutgers, which is what the point-spread's reason for being is.

 

[McCloudersportLion]

I try not to put anything on my own teams. I've had to step in and take take the ItsFreeRealEstate.gif a couple times
On the Steelers this year. Last year I held off on -7 vs Maryland because I wasnt gonna be able to watch it and it out me on tilt knowing I basically just burnt money not doing it. Didnt do anything today cause that would jinx Psu and @rutgersal will be spamming the board.

 

[Grant Green]

Just talking from a gambling perspective. When I was thinking about the line earlier this week, I figured maybe PSU-4. IMO, the current line is begging you to take Rutgers, it looks like a trap (how can anyone trust PSU this year)...so I’m going to put a little on PSU today.

If any oddsmaker had hung a -4 they would have been lit up by sharp bettors. That line would last for about 1 minute. There was nothing trappy about the line in the first place. If anything, it was too low based on overreaction to psu poor start.

 

[Pushingtherightbuttons]

If any oddsmaker had hung a -4 they would have been lit up by sharp bettors. That line would last for about 1 minute. There was nothing trappy about the line in the first place. If anything, it was too low based on overreaction to psu poor start.

Well, the outcome certainly proved the oddsmakers to be smarter and more rational than emotional PSU “fans” who have no understanding of the game

 

[ram2020]

Well, the outcome certainly proved the oddsmakers to be smarter and more rational than emotional PSU “fans” who have no understanding of the game

Yeah, those sharps that were so impressive that we were 0-5 ATS for the first 5 weeks and it wasn't close

 

[Grant Green]

Well, the outcome certainly proved the oddsmakers to be smarter and more rational than emotional PSU “fans” who have no understanding of the game

Yeah, those sharps that were so impressive that we were 0-5 ATS for the first 5 weeks and it wasn't close

Small sample sizes of 1 to 5 games don't really prove much.

Incidentally, sharp bettors were on IU the first game and didn't really show much interest in the Maryland game. I'd say they won on IU, PSU vs Michigan, and PSU vs Rutgers today (line moved in PSU favor) and lost on PSU vs Nebraska, Iowa, and maybe a little on Ohio State.

I guarantee you won't make money betting against the sharp guys in the long run.

 

[ram2020]

Small sample sizes of 1 to 5 games don't really prove much.

Incidentally, sharp bettors were on IU the first game and didn't really show much interest in the Maryland game. I'd say they won on IU, PSU vs Michigan, and PSU vs Rutgers today (line moved in PSU favor) and lost on PSU vs Nebraska, Iowa, and maybe a little on Ohio State.

I guarantee you won't make money betting against the sharp guys in the long run.

I agree, and I've learned the hard way