2.0M shots yesterday so total up to 50.08M with the 7 day rolling average at 1.66M . 72.6% of shots administered is the national average, 11.2% of population with 1+ dose (note this is percent of population that has been given 1 or 2 doses, so total percent that have been pricked by a needle), 3.9% with double dose. So far, 36.8 million have received at least one dose. At least 12.8 million people have completed the two-dose vaccination regimen.
Doses delivered is 68.98M compared to yesterday 68.3M. 9.68 doses recorded delivered this week. 9.4M doses delivered last week. So slightly better than last week assuming no weekend deliveries but based on the news this week was assuming this number would start to rise week over week more than 300k doses.
100,288 positives reported yesterday compared to 132,412 week over week. 7-day rolling average as such continues it's downward trend to 98,929.
Fatality was 2908 compared to 3068 yesterday and 3664 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 2653.
For Hospitalizations, Total hospitalizations in USA with Covid is 71,504 down from yesterday 74,225.
So some nice milestones hit today. Under 100,000 daily positives for the first time since November 5th. When you look at the chart, there used to be those end of week reporting peaks which now have basically gone away the last two weeks so much more consistent day to day data. Fatality numbers starting to finally come down with the high being January 26 the 7-day rolling be 3447 so have come down 800 fatalities per day in the last 18 days. Not out of the question to get below 2000 fatalities per day on the 7 day by end of this month.
2.0M shots yesterday so total up to 52.04M with the 7 day rolling average at 1.64M . 74.5% of shots administered is the national average, 11.5% of population with 1+ dose (note this is percent of population that has been given 1 or 2 doses, so total percent that have been pricked by a needle), 4.2% with double dose. So far, 37.9 million have received at least one dose. At least 13.7 million people have completed the two-dose vaccination regimen.
Doses delivered is 69.85M compared to yesterday 68.98M. 9.81 doses recorded delivered this week. 9.4M doses delivered last week. So slightly better than last week but still not at the 10M mark.
86,275 positives reported yesterday compared to 108,636 week over week. 7-day rolling average as such continues it's downward trend to 96,303.
Fatality was 2272 compared to 2908 yesterday and 2796 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 2599.
For Hospitalizations, Total hospitalizations in USA with Covid is 69,283 down from yesterday 71,504.
Editorial: Incredible what one month can do. A month ago, the vaccine roll-out was struggling, the USA had administered only 11M doses in the first month of vaccines; the daily 7 day rolling average for daily infections peaked on January 11th at 255,258; and January 12th the peak one day fatality of 4497 occurred with a 7 day fatality rolling average of 3400.
And now.....have turned around the vaccinations to average 1.6M per day and have shown can easily do 2.0M, have gone from 11M doses to 52M doses administered with 11.5% of the population having had at least one shot. The daily infection rate is almost ONE THIRD the peak from 255k per day down to 96k per day in only a month. Hospitalizations are 50% of a month ago. And finally we are starting to see the fatality rate come down, 22% in the last month with 18 consecutive days in decline.
On the vaccine front, both Moderna and Pfizer have both come out and said production rates are increasing and have moved up their timetables to hit their allotments earlier by months and now USA has secured 600M doses (enough for entire country) by end of July. This does not even include J&J which went for approval and is expected to occur by end of February and start shipping in early March.
So if you think about the 1.6M vaccines doses per day is equivalent to 800,000 people being double dosed and now immune. Daily positive infections yesterday was 86,000. So we are at 9 people being vaccinated and immune for every ONE person who is being infected. And I expect that number to only grow as more vaccines get out to states with the increasing production and the daily infection numbers continuing to drop.
USA has 28M+ confirmed positive cases. Most experts think that between 50M-90M people actually have been infected as a 2-4x ratio of tested positive to actual positive due to the lack of testing at the start of this combined with asymptomatic people. There is also good evidence that about 10% of the population (let's say 30M) has natural immunity to Covid due to previous similar infections. We now have nearly 40M people with at least one shot of vaccine. So start adding up those numbers (recognizing that some percentage of people who have got the vaccine already had covid or are natural immune so everything is just not additive)....50-90M with antibodies already since had Covid, 30M natural immunity, 40M with a vaccine dose already.....so that is 120-160M people. that is the start of herd immunity we are seeing.