Some more data, with some basic conclusions.
When no one was vaccinated (Nov - Feb), we had ABOUT 200K cases per day and about 3000 deaths per day. So, the ratio was 1.5 deaths per 100 reported cases before vaccine.
Currently, with 85% of the age groups that can die of Covid (65+), we have about 120K cases per day and about 1400 deaths per day. So the ratio is now about 0.85 deaths per reported case.
We all know that the reported cases are NOT all of the cases, because some people get it, are asymptomatic, or simply tough it out and recover. Now, a reasonable assumption is that the same ratio of reported to total cases exists now as before. That number has often been estimated about 4 total cases for every one reported case.
Working with that assumption:
Death Rate(before) = Deaths Unvaxxed = (1.5/100)
Deaths(after vaccine available) = Deaths vaxxed + Deaths unvaxxed
Deaths(after vax) = (% vaxxed) * (1-VE) * Death Rate (Unvaxxed) + (%Unvaxxed) * Death Rate (Unvaxxed)
(0.85/100) = 0.85 * (1-VE) * (1.5/100) + 0.15 * (1.5/100)
so, (1-VE) = 0.49
Vaccine effectiveness (death) = 0.51 or 51%.
So, either a lot more people are getting infected than the numbers show, or the vaccine really isn't working nearly as well as we had hoped.