quite a few high profile commentators picking PSU tonight (even Desmond). alot of discussion around Trace and a balanced offense. not that this is unimportant, but i have perfect confidence that Trace and the offense can move ball and score, especially vs a Bosa-less tOSU DEF.
to me the key is will we be able to stop the tOSU offense to any degree? based on what we have seen in the first four games tOSU could score on every possession that they do not have some kind of self induced breakdown (i.e. 10/15 yd penalty). this defense is one of the weakest in a few years. our blowout wins have been 4th qtr heavy scoring and if you watch the games even in the second half while the opponents are still contesting the games, we do not stop the straight ahead run well and are victims of middle field passing and we have a hard time getting QB pressure. we do well vs long pass game and wide runs. tOSU offense is several rungs up from anyone we have seen.
my guess is tOSU will get at least 42 pts and could hit 63 on the high end, again based on the defense we have seen the last 4 games. so if the defense can step it up we may hold them to the 42 or a few pts fewer. the odd makers have tOSU at around 38-35 (similar to last year's game), but i think we need to add at least 10 pts to those numbers. O/U should be at least 90.
tOSU defense is nothing to write home about either, but their front 4 even without Bosa are pretty solid. i can see us hitting 49 pts vs these guys. so if DEF can hold up, we win 49-45 or some score like that. if DEF looks like what we have seen we could lose 56-49.
to me the key is will we be able to stop the tOSU offense to any degree? based on what we have seen in the first four games tOSU could score on every possession that they do not have some kind of self induced breakdown (i.e. 10/15 yd penalty). this defense is one of the weakest in a few years. our blowout wins have been 4th qtr heavy scoring and if you watch the games even in the second half while the opponents are still contesting the games, we do not stop the straight ahead run well and are victims of middle field passing and we have a hard time getting QB pressure. we do well vs long pass game and wide runs. tOSU offense is several rungs up from anyone we have seen.
my guess is tOSU will get at least 42 pts and could hit 63 on the high end, again based on the defense we have seen the last 4 games. so if the defense can step it up we may hold them to the 42 or a few pts fewer. the odd makers have tOSU at around 38-35 (similar to last year's game), but i think we need to add at least 10 pts to those numbers. O/U should be at least 90.
tOSU defense is nothing to write home about either, but their front 4 even without Bosa are pretty solid. i can see us hitting 49 pts vs these guys. so if DEF can hold up, we win 49-45 or some score like that. if DEF looks like what we have seen we could lose 56-49.