I do think playing at home is a big advantage for us just not to the point where we have a 67% chance to win.
I think that scUM game is probably 50/50 or up to 55/45 in our favor.
As for the OSU game I can see us as a 40-45% chance to win. We always lose there and that has to come into consideration. And of course, OSU, will most likely be rounding into form with McCord starting to click with his wide receivers as we come to town. The other factor with OSU is I think they have an improved defense although we won't really know this until they face their first real opponent, ND, in a couple weeks.