dunkej01 quoted a tweet with this data:
Thanks, dunke! Your table of data is helpful in dispelling the misconception that regular adults are somehow *way* less affected by COVID than old adults. Your table shows that COVID affects all adult ages ~similarly much, with especially little difference among ages past 45.
For example, the table shows that people aged 35-44 had their ~likelihood of dying in the very near future increase by a factor of
6.5% while people aged 65 and over had their ~likelihood of dying in the very near future increase by a factor of
11%, due to COVID.
Even for the youngest adults, people aged 18-29, their ~likelihood of dying in the very near future increased by a factor of
2.2%, which is less but still not *way* less than the factor of
11% for 65+ year olds (i.e., is still the same order of magnitude).
In other words, if dying is a tax, and the tax brackets are based on age, then under COVID Tax Reform, the tax rate for every bracket is increased by its own COVID factor, and the COVID factors don’t differ *way* much across the brackets.
[ Showing work:
6.5% ~= 6.1 / (100 - 6.1)
11% ~= 9.9 / (100 - 9.9)
2.2% ~= 2.2 / (100 - 2.2),
all under a simplifying assumption, not quite justified for any one age group, but perhaps justifiable for comparing across age groups. In fact, without the simplifying assumption, the age group percentages should probably be *more* similar. ]