Ohio State won't drop 6 spots for losing to Michigan. They're either 4 or 5. They now have the best loss.
It’s not going to happen, but an Iowa win over Michigan probably knocks us out.
Do you have Louisville beating FSU?
That is correct...if either Iowa beats Michigan or Oklahoma State beats Texas...we are out and going to the Citrus Bowl.
That is a toss up with FSU not having Travis.....I read if the ACC Champ makes the playoff, the runner up would go to the Orange Bowl which would be Louisville. How it stands right now is if FSU wins, they are in the playoff. If they lose, Louisville goes to the orange Bowl and FSU would probably go to another NY6 Bowl.
You are correct--that's my fault. I have a mental block on the ACC getting a spot in the Orange regardless because it's the only real tie in this year (also Big Ten/SEC to Orange but that's inevitable)
I don’t think OkSt is a threat to us. They have a couple of ugly blow-out losses to nobodies.
Ok State, like Iowa, would get the automatic bid to the NY6 with a win. Either one of those results would push PSU out of the NY6.
This is how I see it too. Texas/Oregon/Bama would all pass tOSU by winning their CCG.
Probably (though I think there’s a chance that might push us above Missouri). Oklahoma St winning would also likely knock us out.
But the ACC has a Orange Bowl Tie In....so even if FSU wins Saturday....a 3 loss Louisville team is in the NY6 if an undefeated FSU is in playoffs which is likely because Oregon or Washington lose and drop next week.
You can root for Louisville
The PAC-12, ACC and SEC game outcomes won’t affect our chances for a bid so root for whomever you want there.
Absolutely. If Bama wins and no other upsets, the SEC is out of the CFP.
People honestly think the committee is going to leave out the SEC?
If 1-loss SEC champ Alabama is left out of the playoff, the SEC states may secede from the U.S.
Is there some sort of draft order for the non CFP New Years Six bowls? I feel like there used to be but I guess now they just assign they based on good matchups or something (ignoring conference tie ins)
Oh there will be a huge outcry but that’s the clear outcome if Bama wins and the favorites win all the others. The Committee isn’t going to leave out an undefeated P5 conference champ and you have to take Texas over Bama given the head to head (in Tuscaloosa in fact).
I think that would be an interesting game
It may get us into the playoff. They’ll extend it to 12 immediately this year.
Oh there will be complaints, but it would be so much worse if they left out an undefeated team - one that beat two SEC teams in fact - or ignored head to head for two 1 loss teams. It’s surprising but it is really about the perfect scenario to shut the SEC out.
