USA COVID-19 Vaccination Updates

Countrylion

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Something a little crazy going on in New Jersey. April 1st the 7 day average for daily positives was 4600, today NJ is down to 944 in the 7 day average. Last 5 days of daily positives are 967, 650, 339, 152, 561. Just crazy numbers. Something had to have happened with respect to testing and reporting to get that low.
College students went home.
 
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BobPSU92

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i am sure that is part of it, plus high school sports and testing associated with that going down. but that still doesn't explain the last 5 days of numbers compared to where things were. I hope they are real as basically means NJ has hit pure herd immunity and driving case load down to nothing.

I don’t get it either. It‘s still pretty disgusting here overall.
 
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Cletus11

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1.53M shots yesterday so total up to 263.13 with the 7 day rolling average at 2.2M. 78.8% of shots administered is the national average, 46.2% of population with 1+ dose (59.5% of the adult population), 35.1% of population fully vaccinated.

So far, 153 million Americans have received at least one dose of a vaccine. At least 117 million people have completed a vaccination regimen.

34,904 positives reported yesterday compared to 42,875 week over week. 7-day rolling average is at 39,254

Fatality was 743 compared to 370 yesterday and 858 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 635.

Hospitalizations reported 7 day rolling average is 31,210 compared to one week ago 35,076 down 11.0%.

Hospital admissions reported 7 day rolling average is 4,199 compared to one week ago 4,761 down 11.8%.

Another excellent day in the numbers. Finally broke the 40,000 daily positive case plateau. Last time below 40k was in mid September. Last time this low in daily fatality was July 9th. Could be some really good things going on with the numbers in the rest of May. Just about every state out there is on a steady decline with some of the larger Northeast states like NJ, NY, PA and MIchigan really going down. I mean getting sub 30,000 on the daily positives and sub 500 on the daily fatality by end of month is legitimately in reach right now.

1.55M shots yesterday so total up to 264.68 with the 7 day rolling average at 2.2M. 78.5% of shots administered is the national average, 46.4% of population with 1+ dose (59.7% of the adult population), 35.4% of population fully vaccinated.

So far, 154 million Americans have received at least one dose of a vaccine. At least 118 million people have completed a vaccination regimen.

35,816 positives reported yesterday compared to 46,077 week over week. 7-day rolling average is at 37,818.

Fatality was 841 compared to 743 yesterday and 772 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 644.

Hospitalizations reported 7 day rolling average is 30,718 compared to one week ago 34,574 down 11.2%.

Hospital admissions reported 7 day rolling average is 4,130 compared to one week ago 4,698 down 12.1%.
 
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Cletus11

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So the continue crazy that is New Jersey reporting. As I noted yesterday below is the 7 day averages for the last 6 weeks.

April 1 - 4600
April 19 -3670
April 30 - 2047
May 5 - 1628
May 12 - 653

Just to compare that to PA:

April 1 - 4121
April 19 - 4782
April 30 - 3433
May 5 - 2869
May 12 - 2165
 

Cletus11

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1.55M shots yesterday so total up to 264.68 with the 7 day rolling average at 2.2M. 78.5% of shots administered is the national average, 46.4% of population with 1+ dose (59.7% of the adult population), 35.4% of population fully vaccinated.

So far, 154 million Americans have received at least one dose of a vaccine. At least 118 million people have completed a vaccination regimen.

35,816 positives reported yesterday compared to 46,077 week over week. 7-day rolling average is at 37,818.

Fatality was 841 compared to 743 yesterday and 772 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 644.

Hospitalizations reported 7 day rolling average is 30,718 compared to one week ago 34,574 down 11.2%.

Hospital admissions reported 7 day rolling average is 4,130 compared to one week ago 4,698 down 12.1%.

1.84M shots yesterday so total up to 268.44 with the 7 day rolling average at 1.95M. 78.5% of shots administered is the national average, 46.8% of population with 1+ dose (60.2% of the adult population), 36.2% of population fully vaccinated.

So far, 155 million Americans have received at least one dose of a vaccine. At least 120 million people have completed a vaccination regimen.

39,095 positives reported yesterday compared to 49,492 week over week. 7-day rolling average is at 35,016.

Fatality was 733 compared to 856 yesterday and 7763 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 627.

Hospitalizations reported 7 day rolling average is 29,588 compared to one week ago 33,582 down 11.9%.

Hospital admissions reported 7 day rolling average is 3,956 compared to one week ago 4,556 down 13.2%.

Daily positives are going to reach sub 30,000 by end of this month. Not sure how low the fatality will get, should be below 600 but don't think we get below 500 unless we see some major movement (which is not out of the question as we know the fatality lags the daily positives by 3-6 weeks and we know that we are really go down now). Hosptilizations finally under 30,000 also and have seen that 10%+ week over week be pretty steady.

Also note finally we got to the 60% with at least one shot in the vaccine category. I wonder if the CDC news will push some more people to get the vaccine in the next couple of weeks combine with FDA giving Pfizer full approval.
 

interrobang

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I don't know how they could possibly give any vaccine full approval so fast since so many trials are still ongoing. Then again the FDA rubber stamped the 12-15 EUA with basically no review, so you never know.

Hospitalizations are essentially as low as they've been since the pandemic started, once you factor in that this time last year many states weren't reporting hospitalizations.
 
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Obliviax

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I don't know how they could possibly give any vaccine full approval so fast since so many trials are still ongoing. Then again the FDA rubber stamped the 12-15 EUA with basically no review, so you never know.

Hospitalizations are essentially as low as they've been since the pandemic started, once you factor in that this time last year many states weren't reporting hospitalizations.
One of the interesting attributes of the new policies is what defines "fully vaccinated." To be fully vaccinated you have to have two shots of Pf or M but only one shot of J&J. However, one shot of Pf or M has more efficacy than one shot of J&J.
 
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klive

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One of the interesting attributes of the new policies is what defines "fully vaccinated." To be fully vaccinated you have to have two shots of Pf or M but only one shot of J&J. However, one shot of Pf or M has more efficacy than one shot of J&J.
What's interesting about it? The 2 dose P/M vaccines are what the clinical trials were based on and what the EAU was based on. J&J developed a single dose that had to go through the same parameters. That's the process, regardless of the efficacy of each after a single dose.
 

Obliviax

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What's interesting about it? The 2 dose P/M vaccines are what the clinical trials were based on and what the EAU was based on. J&J developed a single dose that had to go through the same parameters. That's the process, regardless of the efficacy of each after a single dose.
You are fully vaccinated if you got two doses of the other but only one dose of the Johnson even though one dose of the other is better
 
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TheGLOV

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Well, well, well, TheGLOV was right again folks!

All of you out there who criticized me, and others, who felt that this virus didn't come from a lab are extremely ignorantly, naïve, stupid, wrong, or were dropped on your head as a baby etc.


You still sticking to the story that this China virus came from a guy eating a bat at a wet-market huh?
 
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interrobang

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You are fully vaccinated if you got two doses of the other but only one dose of the Johnson even though one dose of the other is better

I think the bottom line is that now even the gov't is ready to end the pandemic, so they're (finally!) using vaccines as enticement. But they can't outright say what you're saying for obvious reasons
 
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KanePoster

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As predicted earlier, we are really about done with the pandemic. You can see it as the numbers are now collapsing.

Here are the latest total deaths. The blue dots from 3/10 and 3/17 aren't changing much week to week, so they're going to end up below the expected deaths line or right at it.

Total-US-Mortality-Graph.png


Much of what we're seeing in deaths is being driven by Michigan, which had 22% of the Covid deaths in the USA yesterday. But Michigan is past the epidemic too. Deaths are still high (but now declining), but new infections have gone to almost nothing.

Michigan-Daily-Cases.png



Michigan-Daily-Deaths.png


All of the highly populated states show the same pattern - about 10% or more of the population shows a confirmed case (and thus immunity), so using a reasonable multiplier of 4 - 5 undocumented case per documented case, we have about 50% of the population immune from Covid via sickness and now about 50% vaccinated, so that means we have about 75% of the population immune. Enough to put the reproductive factor of the virus at, or below, 1.0 meaning that we won't have any large nationwide outbreaks.

I think I'll post, by state, the percentage of the population that has a recorded case, so we can see if any pockets remain where there's a potential for a statewide outbreak, similar to what we saw in Michigan.
 

Cletus11

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1.84M shots yesterday so total up to 268.44 with the 7 day rolling average at 1.95M. 78.5% of shots administered is the national average, 46.8% of population with 1+ dose (60.2% of the adult population), 36.2% of population fully vaccinated.

So far, 155 million Americans have received at least one dose of a vaccine. At least 120 million people have completed a vaccination regimen.

39,095 positives reported yesterday compared to 49,492 week over week. 7-day rolling average is at 35,016.

Fatality was 733 compared to 856 yesterday and 7763 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 627.

Hospitalizations reported 7 day rolling average is 29,588 compared to one week ago 33,582 down 11.9%.

Hospital admissions reported 7 day rolling average is 3,956 compared to one week ago 4,556 down 13.2%.

Daily positives are going to reach sub 30,000 by end of this month. Not sure how low the fatality will get, should be below 600 but don't think we get below 500 unless we see some major movement (which is not out of the question as we know the fatality lags the daily positives by 3-6 weeks and we know that we are really go down now). Hosptilizations finally under 30,000 also and have seen that 10%+ week over week be pretty steady.

Also note finally we got to the 60% with at least one shot in the vaccine category. I wonder if the CDC news will push some more people to get the vaccine in the next couple of weeks combine with FDA giving Pfizer full approval.

2.39M shots yesterday so total up to 270.83 with the 7 day rolling average at 1.93M. 78.6% of shots administered is the national average, 47.1% of population with 1+ dose (60.6% of the adult population), 36.7% of population fully vaccinated.

So far, 156 million Americans have received at least one dose of a vaccine. At least 122 million people have completed a vaccination regimen.

25,642 positives reported yesterday compared to 39,247 week over week. 7-day rolling average is at 33,072.

Fatality was 499 compared to 752 yesterday and 643 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 613.

Hospitalizations reported 7 day rolling average is 29,024 compared to one week ago 33,096 down 12.3%.

Hospital admissions reported 7 day rolling average is 3,864 compared to one week ago 4,471 down 13.6%.
 

KanePoster

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Can you please explain how 4 to 5 is a reasonable multiplier serious question

Honestly, I was going from memory. But then after you asked, I looked.

CDC estimates 113 million total infections by March 2021 (so maybe it is 130 now???), and confirmed infections are 33 million. So, a better multiplier might be 3.5 - 4.5....

Estimated Covid Cases.
 

interrobang

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Honestly, I was going from memory. But then after you asked, I looked.

CDC estimates 113 million total infections by March 2021 (so maybe it is 130 now???), and confirmed infections are 33 million. So, a better multiplier might be 3.5 - 4.5....

Estimated Covid Cases.

There aren't 33 million confirmed infections though. Just 33 million people have tested positive.
 

Obliviax

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Stuff like this is a straight up lie, yet CNN just parrots it on and on

totally agree. of those 300, how many had comorbidities? clearly, COVID is not without risks to even the most heathly but so is riding a bike, playing football or sitting on the sofa eating chicken nuggets. The news should be reported with context. The clear intent here is to simply scare people
 

The Spin Meister

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An altered state
Just came from Giant Eagle....W Pa. Had no sign on door so went in without mask, expecting to see others sans mask. Walked through entire store. Very single person had a mask on. At least 150 people. And half were older people that should have been vaccinated.

One guy in his seventies walked up to me and I expected him to say put a mask on. Instead, he pointed to a woman wearing shorts and said that should be allowed as he forgot what he went into the store for! Another guy yelled Sir! To me then I recognized him as an old friend. People looked at me weird (I am used to that) but no one said anything about a mask, not even employees.

Just found it very strange that no one else went with out a mask. People are such mindless sheep.
 

interrobang

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Just came from Giant Eagle....W Pa. Had no sign on door so went in without mask, expecting to see others sans mask. Walked through entire store. Very single person had a mask on. At least 150 people. And half were older people that should have been vaccinated.

One guy in his seventies walked up to me and I expected him to say put a mask on. Instead, he pointed to a woman wearing shorts and said that should be allowed as he forgot what he went into the store for! Another guy yelled Sir! To me then I recognized him as an old friend. People looked at me weird (I am used to that) but no one said anything about a mask, not even employees.

Just found it very strange that no one else went with out a mask. People are such mindless sheep.

Gonna take a long time for people to take them off. Some due to being sheep, others not wanting to hear the lip coming from the sheep.
 

tgar

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F
Just came from Giant Eagle....W Pa. Had no sign on door so went in without mask, expecting to see others sans mask. Walked through entire store. Very single person had a mask on. At least 150 people. And half were older people that should have been vaccinated.

One guy in his seventies walked up to me and I expected him to say put a mask on. Instead, he pointed to a woman wearing shorts and said that should be allowed as he forgot what he went into the store for! Another guy yelled Sir! To me then I recognized him as an old friend. People looked at me weird (I am used to that) but no one said anything about a mask, not even employees.

Just found it very strange that no one else went with out a mask. People are such mindless sheep.
Folks will take off their masks when they are ready to take off their masks. I am happy going to my Giant Eagle without a mask but will probably wear a mask in WaWa and Sheetz every time I go in for the rest of my life. If I am forced inside a Marathon Gas station or any of the chains in West Virginia it will be two masks. Minimum.

I was just inside my Giant in State College, a few folks without masks. There is a sign on the door so I still wear one but once the sign is gone I have no reason. I just wear it now as a courtesy if there is a sign.

there Have been very few people wearing masks in State College downtown this past month. People only put them on if requested by a store or restaurant. We spent the weekend in downtown Pittsburgh at a hotel and going to dinner and out for drinks. ( Gaucho Parilla is the shit ! ) I think here is some confusion with businesses as to what, where, how, etc. some more clarity needs to be incorporated into the messaging. We didn’t wear masks outside and even had a young couple ask us what was allowed and then they took theirs off as well.

OTOH several very cool outdoor dining spots have been created by turning the under utilized bike lanes into dining space. It’s going to be a fun summer. Several establishments were closed, a couple temporarily I believe ( Meat and Potatoes ) and others just closed. It does look like things are starting to happen again and the music and sports calendars are filling up.
 
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Delco Lion

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Just came from Giant Eagle....W Pa. Had no sign on door so went in without mask, expecting to see others sans mask. Walked through entire store. Very single person had a mask on. At least 150 people. And half were older people that should have been vaccinated.

One guy in his seventies walked up to me and I expected him to say put a mask on. Instead, he pointed to a woman wearing shorts and said that should be allowed as he forgot what he went into the store for! Another guy yelled Sir! To me then I recognized him as an old friend. People looked at me weird (I am used to that) but no one said anything about a mask, not even employees.

Just found it very strange that no one else went with out a mask. People are such mindless sheep.

People may have read or saw the news that Giant Eagle still requires masks. Our Acme requires masks. It’s nice working out at the gym without a mask.
 

interrobang

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Seems like grocery stores will be the last public place to nix masks (other than Trader Joe's).

Local liquor store near me which had a very strict mask mandate since very early on ditched its mask policy, which surprised me.
 

BobPSU92

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It’s only been a couple days since the CDC’s epiphany, but nothing has changed here in NEW. JERSEY. o_O .