I was the first person to post on this after coming back from a trip to san fran in Feb. I was alarmed because early death rates were in the 2% range and posted that, if this gets out, we are looking at several million dead. Many early predictors were in the 1.5 to 2m dead....and that was through April.
So here's the deal, 170k people have died in the USA
- how many would have died from the flu anyway? CDC says between 24k and 62k. Let's say 50k. That means the real death toll is 120k
- About 68% of COVID Deaths are for those already in assisted in PA (75% in Ohio) living (meaning, already compromised). 45% of 120k leaves 39k deaths for those that would not have died from the normal flu and were not already compromised.
- According to this site, about 33,000 have died that are under the age of 65. Nobody knows, of that, who may have been comprised (cancer, sickle cell, diabetes, etc.)
- Now that we've been fighting this thing, the percentage of deaths is much, much lower but I can't find anyone who has posted morbidity rates by month. (almost seems like they are hiding this, wouldn't this be an important stat to track?)
So, given 1, 2, 3 above (which are facts that are not disputed) and 4 (which makes sense but can't be quantified) we are shutting down entire regions for ~ 33k deaths? Wouldn't it be much smarter to provide a safe shelter for those in nursing homes, above the age of 65 and/or compromised? Why are we shutting down schools, football, businesses, and others? Why are we ruining businesses across the north
of PA who haven't been affected, almost, at all?