Exactly! When has Iowa wrestled up and exceeded expectations at Nationals?? They always screw the pooch against Cael at the big dance. This year their Senior studs like Eireman, Murin, Young, Kemmer and Warner looks old and tired. Combine that with no Spencer Lee and I don't see it being close and I think we easily qualify everyone for the dance this year. Engravers can start writing our names on the Big 10 and NCAA trophies!But that’s only half the story. Iowa hasn’t wrestled loose at Nationals. It’s not a stretch to think the pressure will affect them.
Thanks and fair enough. My hunch -- it's only a hunch and I'm too lazy to do the research -- is that a bigger sample size would indicate that Iowa hasn't wrestled to seed.Iowa pretty much wrestled to their seeds in the 2021 NCAA tourney, with the exception of Marinelli (who was injured) and Brands. And Brands wasn't going to score many teams points anyway, so that really didn't matter in the bigger scheme.
Wrestler - Seed - Result/Placement
Lee - 1 - 1
ADS - 4 - 3
Eierman - 1 - 2
Murin - 12 - lost in quarter-finals, did not AA
Marinelli - 1 - lost in semi-finals, then injury defaulted out
Kem - 1 - 2
Brands - 12 - went 1-2
Warner - 5- 4
Cass - 5 - 3
I would expect similar correlation in 2022, and certainly wouldn't expect Iowa to significantly underperform their seed.
165 was beyond odd last year. 2 forfeits in the blood round. Valencia got hurt in his match against Ethan Smith. Wick wasn't wrestling.It's kind of crazy that Amine, who is an AA because of a MF in the blood round, is the 4th ranked dude in the B1G at 165.