1 in 50 Manhattan Residents Infected With COVID in the Last Week

Sullivan

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Nov 24, 2001
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1 in 50 Manhattan Residents Infected With COVID in the Last Week​


As the omicron variant of COVID-19 continues to spread out of control in New York City, transmission rates are soaring, with 2% of all Manhattan residents infected in the last week and nearing that level in the other boroughs.

About 2,012 of every 100,000 Manhattan residents tested positive in the last seven days, according to the latest transmission data posted by the city. The citywide rate is 1,742 per 100,000.

The Manhattan figure is an average, though; some neighborhoods are substantially higher. The Chelsea and Clinton neighborhoods now stand at 2,600 cases per 100,000 residents in the last week; the Gramercy Park area is at 2,325.

At 2,600 cases per 100,000 residents, Chelsea may be one of the most infected places in the country. According to New York Times data, Washington D.C., where omicron is entirely out of control, has a rate of 279 cases per 100,000.

The word "surge" is almost insufficient to describe what's going on in the city; the citywide transmission rate has risen 10x since the start of the month, more in some areas.

As of Sunday the 7-day average of positive tests for city residents was 19.97%, an astronomical figure without recent precedent. Meanwhile, daily hospitalizations with COVID-like symptoms are now running double where they were just two weeks ago, and more than triple what the city said would "normally" be expected this time of year.

 

LionDeNittany

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May 29, 2001
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1 in 50 Manhattan Residents Infected With COVID in the Last Week​


As the omicron variant of COVID-19 continues to spread out of control in New York City, transmission rates are soaring, with 2% of all Manhattan residents infected in the last week and nearing that level in the other boroughs.

About 2,012 of every 100,000 Manhattan residents tested positive in the last seven days, according to the latest transmission data posted by the city. The citywide rate is 1,742 per 100,000.

The Manhattan figure is an average, though; some neighborhoods are substantially higher. The Chelsea and Clinton neighborhoods now stand at 2,600 cases per 100,000 residents in the last week; the Gramercy Park area is at 2,325.

At 2,600 cases per 100,000 residents, Chelsea may be one of the most infected places in the country. According to New York Times data, Washington D.C., where omicron is entirely out of control, has a rate of 279 cases per 100,000.

The word "surge" is almost insufficient to describe what's going on in the city; the citywide transmission rate has risen 10x since the start of the month, more in some areas.

As of Sunday the 7-day average of positive tests for city residents was 19.97%, an astronomical figure without recent precedent. Meanwhile, daily hospitalizations with COVID-like symptoms are now running double where they were just two weeks ago, and more than triple what the city said would "normally" be expected this time of year.


Nice work Honchul. Way to ruin kids lives with no effect.

LdN
 

Steve G

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May 29, 2001
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1 in 50 Manhattan Residents Infected With COVID in the Last Week​


As the omicron variant of COVID-19 continues to spread out of control in New York City, transmission rates are soaring, with 2% of all Manhattan residents infected in the last week and nearing that level in the other boroughs.

About 2,012 of every 100,000 Manhattan residents tested positive in the last seven days, according to the latest transmission data posted by the city. The citywide rate is 1,742 per 100,000.

The Manhattan figure is an average, though; some neighborhoods are substantially higher. The Chelsea and Clinton neighborhoods now stand at 2,600 cases per 100,000 residents in the last week; the Gramercy Park area is at 2,325.

At 2,600 cases per 100,000 residents, Chelsea may be one of the most infected places in the country. According to New York Times data, Washington D.C., where omicron is entirely out of control, has a rate of 279 cases per 100,000.

The word "surge" is almost insufficient to describe what's going on in the city; the citywide transmission rate has risen 10x since the start of the month, more in some areas.

As of Sunday the 7-day average of positive tests for city residents was 19.97%, an astronomical figure without recent precedent. Meanwhile, daily hospitalizations with COVID-like symptoms are now running double where they were just two weeks ago, and more than triple what the city said would "normally" be expected this time of year.

I work with someone well up the public health food chain and they are seriously demoralized about omicron. All of the things that helped mitigate original and delta, masking, 6 feet, limiting time, better. ventilation, etc do not work with omicron. This is why football teams and airplanes crews are gettin g overwhelmed, one person walks in, exhales and walks out and multiple others get infected. The efficiency of infection and spread is unprecedented , more like measles than COVID has been. Any congregant situation with high population density like NYC will be close to impossible to mitigate and expect all dense urban areas to have explosive surges of infections. Teams, cruises, resorts, work crews all vulnerable... Think about a big apartment block in NYC with a few omicron infections and soon enough whole place infected as everyone takes elevators or stair cases. Seems to hang in the air much longer than previous variants.
 

interrobang

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That's a lot of "end of days" in that article for something that amounts to a cold at worst.

I wonder how many people with a testing addiction were just getting tested out of habit and were shocked to find they tested positive
 

psualt

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I work with someone well up the public health food chain and they are seriously demoralized about omicron. All of the things that helped mitigate original and delta, masking, 6 feet, limiting time, better. ventilation, etc do not work with omicron. This is why football teams and airplanes crews are gettin g overwhelmed, one person walks in, exhales and walks out and multiple others get infected. The efficiency of infection and spread is unprecedented , more like measles than COVID has been. Any congregant situation with high population density like NYC will be close to impossible to mitigate and expect all dense urban areas to have explosive surges of infections. Teams, cruises, resorts, work crews all vulnerable... Think about a big apartment block in NYC with a few omicron infections and soon enough whole place infected as everyone takes elevators or stair cases. Seems to hang in the air much longer than previous variants.
So now it hangs in the air longer? Did you make this up?
 
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interrobang

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I work with someone well up the public health food chain and they are seriously demoralized about omicron. All of the things that helped mitigate original and delta, masking, 6 feet, limiting time, better. ventilation, etc do not work with omicron. This is why football teams and airplanes crews are gettin g overwhelmed, one person walks in, exhales and walks out and multiple others get infected. The efficiency of infection and spread is unprecedented , more like measles than COVID has been. Any congregant situation with high population density like NYC will be close to impossible to mitigate and expect all dense urban areas to have explosive surges of infections. Teams, cruises, resorts, work crews all vulnerable... Think about a big apartment block in NYC with a few omicron infections and soon enough whole place infected as everyone takes elevators or stair cases. Seems to hang in the air much longer than previous variants.

I'd need a week to dissect all the BS in this post.
 
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HartfordLlion

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My nephew in Manhattan is one of them right now. My sister-in-law on LI has it. All vaxxed. My nephew had it then got the vaccine earlier in the year so natural + vaccine immunity doesn't stop it. I suspect more than half my in laws will have it before the end of next week as a bunch of them were together last week.
 

PSUEngineer89

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I work with someone well up the public health food chain and they are seriously demoralized about omicron. All of the things that helped mitigate original and delta, masking, 6 feet, limiting time, better. ventilation, etc do not work with omicron. This is why football teams and airplanes crews are gettin g overwhelmed, one person walks in, exhales and walks out and multiple others get infected. The efficiency of infection and spread is unprecedented , more like measles than COVID has been. Any congregant situation with high population density like NYC will be close to impossible to mitigate and expect all dense urban areas to have explosive surges of infections. Teams, cruises, resorts, work crews all vulnerable... Think about a big apartment block in NYC with a few omicron infections and soon enough whole place infected as everyone takes elevators or stair cases. Seems to hang in the air much longer than previous variants.
R0 of original Covid was 2.5
R0 of Delta about 7.0
R0 of Omicron about 10

Variants of the original virus will all be aerosolized with the same diametrical distribution, so all aerodynamics will be the same. Mask effectivity will be unchanged, due to same physics, only N95 made a difference. Still would.

It is possible that survival time of variants might be different in air.

Seems that the vaccines, unfortunately, are not going to be very effective against omicron.
 
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interrobang

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The vaccines do just fine against omicron as long as you forget the fact they won't prevent you from getting it.

According to one recent study, omicron reproduces 70x faster in the nose and mouth (hence why more people test positive) but 10x less in the lungs (hence why it's milder).
 

Steve G

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R0 of original Covid was 2.5
R0 of Delta about 7.0
R0 of Omicron about 10

Variants of the original virus will all be aerosolized with the same diametrical distribution, so all aerodynamics will be the same. Mask effectivity will be unchanged, due to same physics, only N95 made a difference. Still would.

It is possible that survival time of variants might be different in air.

Seems that the vaccines, unfortunately, are not going to be very effective against omicron.
Much higher affinity for ACEII receptor
Much more efficient initiating reproduction
significantly longer survival in air and surfaces
But some how even still more infectious, lingers much longer in environment, which explains how whole position "rooms" in football and ground crews all get it off very brief and time delayed and its the time delay that is new exposures
 

Steve G

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I'd need a week to dissect all the BS in this post.
hey Mensa why don't you post some other nonsense about how hospitals fraudulently code COVID cases and deaths? I shared some actual information in a lay format (you know so you could maybe understand it) about the infection and your response is predictably childish. Before omicron exposures had to be more or less contemporaneous but with omicron there can be significant delay, infected person in room, breathes for a while leaves and another person come in later and gets infected. That is new for this virus and leading to surge in population dense areas. My advice to you is stay as ignorant as you possibly can, it will make everything easier for you
 

Steve G

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I'm sure you can provide the studies that show this
I am sure you can link actual data and evidence for hospital s fraudulently coding cases as having COVID when they do not. And death certificates fraudulently coded as indicating death from CIOVID who it was due to some other cause. I am sure you have actual hard and fast data to support the nonsense claims you been making ion here past 2 years..........
 

pawrestlersintn

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Much higher affinity for ACEII receptor
Much more efficient initiating reproduction
significantly longer survival in air and surfaces
But some how even still more infectious, lingers much longer in environment, which explains how whole position "rooms" in football and ground crews all get it off very brief and time delayed and its the time delay that is new exposures
Do you consider it a good thing or a bad thing that Brandon has given up on covid? Are you able to provide any proactive steps that Brandon has taken regarding the virus? Are we close to approval of a booster that will be more effective against delta, let alone omicron? Why was the administration caught by surprise by a virus mutating?
 
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interrobang

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hey Mensa why don't you post some other nonsense about how hospitals fraudulently code COVID cases and deaths? I shared some actual information in a lay format (you know so you could maybe understand it) about the infection and your response is predictably childish. Before omicron exposures had to be more or less contemporaneous but with omicron there can be significant delay, infected person in room, breathes for a while leaves and another person come in later and gets infected. That is new for this virus and leading to surge in population dense areas. My advice to you is stay as ignorant as you possibly can, it will make everything easier for you

You posted conjecture right out of the fear porn playbook. If anything you posted was true, the entire country would have omicron by now.

The public health food chain is a big reason we're still treating a cold like a death sentence.
 
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LionDeNittany

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I work with someone well up the public health food chain and they are seriously demoralized about omicron. All of the things that helped mitigate original and delta, masking, 6 feet, limiting time, better. ventilation, etc do not work with omicron. This is why football teams and airplanes crews are gettin g overwhelmed, one person walks in, exhales and walks out and multiple others get infected. The efficiency of infection and spread is unprecedented , more like measles than COVID has been. Any congregant situation with high population density like NYC will be close to impossible to mitigate and expect all dense urban areas to have explosive surges of infections. Teams, cruises, resorts, work crews all vulnerable... Think about a big apartment block in NYC with a few omicron infections and soon enough whole place infected as everyone takes elevators or stair cases. Seems to hang in the air much longer than previous variants.

Thanks for the interesting post.

IMO the main issue is the strategy. Mitigation never worked in NYC. It just appeared to work.

And it was always a fools errand.

The aloofness of these senior people is amazing to me.

LdN
 
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PSUEngineer89

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I'm sure you can provide the studies that show this
Perhaps, perhaps not. But it is certainly possible.

Regardless of the mechanism (and getting to the bottom of things like "masks STILL won't work unless they're N95" are important), a single case of omicron infects more people than a single case of Delta (but it isn't crazy more at ratios of 10 to 7 from what I've read).

What is different now is that the vaccine appears to provide much less benefit.
 

PSUEngineer89

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You posted conjecture right out of the fear porn playbook. If anything you posted was true, the entire country would have omicron by now.

The public health food chain is a big reason we're still treating a cold like a death sentence.
Honestly, I think if you look at the case rate (death rate yet to be determined, data out of South Africa suggests death rate will be lower), Omicron has run wild. And this is with Christmas reporting delays.

Covid-Cases-over-Time.png
 
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